EUR/USD Surges Above 1.0900 Amidst Weakening US Dollar...

EUR/USD Surges Above 1.0900 Amidst Weakening US Dollar: Market Insights

In a flurry of market activity, the EUR/USD currency pair is making waves as it continues to gather momentum above the crucial 1.0900 level. As the European session unfolds, the pair's upward trajectory is being fueled by a combination of factors, including an improved market sentiment, sluggish US Treasury yields, and a weakening US Dollar. While the spotlight shifts towards US housing data and key remarks from Federal Reserve officials, the EUR/USD pair maintains its hold around 1.0900, a focal point as Wall Street prepares to conclude its trading day.

Despite a generally somber market mood, the US Dollar struggled to ignite significant speculative interest, resulting in a decline that the EUR/USD pair capitalized on. As markets analyzed the situation, Asian stocks treaded cautiously lower due to ongoing concerns surrounding the Chinese real estate sector. While the People's Bank of China (PBoC) executed anticipated measures, such as reducing the one-year Loan Prime Rate by 10 basis points to 3.45%, market participants were poised for more pronounced measures to buoy the local currency. Consequently, the Yuan experienced a dip in response.

Global government bond yields experienced a notable climb, with the US 10-year Treasury note's ascent to levels unseen since 2007 garnering attention. Similarly, the 2-year note presented a significant juncture by offering yields as high as 5%. This level holds particular significance, as history has shown that a surge past this threshold can trigger a sharp rally for the US Dollar.

The macroeconomic landscape offered a mixed bag of news, with Germany presenting a blend of updates. The July Producer Price Index (PPI) data revealed a 1.1% month-on-month decline and a 6% year-on-year drop, serving to alleviate inflationary pressures. On a contrasting note, the Bundesbank's monthly report raised concerns over persistent wage pressures potentially hindering efforts to curb inflation effectively.

As the market gears up for the upcoming days, attention turns to the economic calendar's offerings. The Euro Zone is poised to release its June Current Account data, shedding light on trade balances and capital flows within the region. Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, the United States is set to publish vital economic indicators, including July's Existing Home Sales figures and the August Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index. Moreover, several prominent Federal Reserve officials are expected to share insights during the American afternoon, adding a layer of anticipation to the unfolding market narrative.

In a realm of intertwined economic indicators, shifting market sentiment, and the ebb and flow of global currencies, the EUR/USD's rise above 1.0900 becomes a pivotal juncture. As investors weigh various factors in the days ahead, the intricacies of the foreign exchange market continue to unravel, painting a dynamic portrait of the global financial landscape.


TurnAround Point:1.08950

Our preference

Long positions above 1.08950 with targets at 1.0945 & 1.0960 in extension.