GBP/JPY setting up for a swing-trade short?

123
My core bias this year is for the Japanese yen to outperform, and for yen pairs such as GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY etc to suffer.

We are currently within a countertrend bounce against a much larger bearish move on GBP/JPY, but a doji formed just beneath a resistance cluster on Thursday to suggest the bounce is pausing, if not correcting itself.

The 1-hour chart shows that volumes were rising while prices fell from Thursday's high, and volumes were lower as they recouped some of those losses. Yet with GBP/JPY now trying to form a bearish outside candle on the 1-hour chart, perhaps a swing high has already formed.

The near-term bias is bearish while prices remain beneath 192.50, and for prices to fall to at least the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio ~190.75.


Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.