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GBP/USD: Inflation Drives Downtrend

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OANDA:GBPUSD   Livre sterling / Dollar américain
Fundamental Analysis:
The United States shows a stronger GDP growth rate at 2.1% compared to the UK's 0.2%, indicating a more robust economic performance. Both countries have similar interest rates, with the U.S. slightly higher at 5.5% versus the UK's 5.25%, which could attract foreign capital similarly. Consumer confidence is markedly higher in the U.S. at 69.5 points, compared to the UK's -25, suggesting a more optimistic economic outlook among U.S. consumers. Inflation is a concern for the UK at 6.8%, significantly higher than the U.S.'s 3.2%, which could lead to currency depreciation for the GBP. The U.S. also has a lower unemployment rate at 3.8%, indicating a healthier labor market compared to the UK...

Technical Analysis:
The GBPUSD pair is experiencing a significant downtrend, driven largely by mounting inflationary pressures in the UK. After breaking through a crucial support level at 1.25, the price appears poised for a minor correction, potentially targeting the 1.23400 level, which serves as a strong support area. Given the technical setup, there's a high likelihood that the pair could experience a robust bounce upon reaching the 1.23 zone, offering a potential reversal point for traders.

overall view:

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