Positional View for Dec 10 2021 December Future
NIFTY Current Position is Long bought on December 7 at 17055 Action for 10 December continue long and reverse to short if NIFTY closes below 17430.29
Refer to Monthly Option Strategy for Option Strategy:
Refer to Weekly levels for Trade levels as in the related idea.
Methodology to get Swing number for positional :
Take NIFTY close price of last 10 days and identify the Polynomial equation.
Yt = B0 + B1t + B2t^2 + Ut (2nd Degree Polynomial example).
if B1 > 0 and B2 >0 Increasing
if B1 >0 and B2<0 Inverted U Shape
if B1<0 and B2<0 Decreasing
if B1 < 0 and B2 > 0 U shape Data
I pro grammatically find the value of NIFTY that changes B1 and B2 to change the shape.
The degree of polynomial needs to change to 5 or 6 for accuracy , Historical validation ,customized volatility and standard deviation , Fibonacci ratios are things i use on top of this.