I find the biggest successes in my investment / long term trades coming from looking at repeating cycles of similar assets coupled with fundamental analysis. Markets typically act with the same logic as explained by Wyckoff - i suggest further reading for those of you who are not familiar with his market hypothesis. I thought i would share this, both because i am fond of both markets but also because of the similarities between the two charts.
Bitcoin enjoyed a fantastic run up in 2013 and we know what happened following - a long painful year period of sell off, followed by a consolidation down to the $200 range, and well, the rest is history - to 20k in the following two years.
Silver experienced a slower but still phenomenal run up mid 2010 - 2011 and has since been trying to find a bottom. looking at the two charts i would say that it is fair to say that there is a similarity between the two. To me, it appears that silver is very much in the accumulation phase and looks like it is starting to show bullish signs.
Silver is a much more mature market and typically will move slower, which has both is advantages and disadvantages. I play both markets and am unbiased as a result, but i think that it appears that silver and indeed other commodities/precious metals look good to go to enter the mark up phase after a long markdown / accumulation time.
We shall see.
Best
filbfilb