The weekly chart of the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG) provides insights into its performance and key technical levels. Here’s a detailed interpretation of the chart:
Historical Downturns and Recoveries:
SPLG experienced a significant downturn from late 2021 to mid-2022, dropping by approximately 27.67% over 1564 days, a notable bearish phase. Following this, there was another downturn in mid-2022, with a decline of 11.18% over 606 days. More recently, from late 2023, SPLG faced a minor pullback of 5.84% over 360 days before resuming its upward trajectory. Current Bullish Momentum:
The ETF has shown a strong recovery, with the price currently above the 9-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 63.04 USD, indicating a bullish trend. The price has recently broken through key resistance levels, and the current level of 64.68 USD suggests strong buying interest. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
The 62.73 USD level, which coincides with the 9-week SMA, now acts as a significant support level. The recent high of 64.74 USD is a critical resistance level that, if broken, could lead to further bullish momentum. RSI Analysis:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 74.44, indicating that SPLG is currently in overbought territory. This could signal a potential pullback or consolidation period. The RSI has been trending upwards, reflecting the strong momentum in SPLG’s price movement. Summary The SPLG has demonstrated strong resilience, recovering from significant downturns to reach new highs in 2024. The current bullish trend is supported by strong price action above the 9-week SMA and positive RSI momentum. However, with the RSI in overbought territory, caution is warranted for potential short-term corrections. Key levels to monitor include the support at 62.73 USD and the resistance at 64.74 USD.
Investment Insights:
Bullish Perspective: As long as SPLG maintains its position above the 9-week SMA, it remains in a strong uptrend, suggesting favorable conditions for long positions. Bearish Perspective: Given the RSI indicating overbought conditions, traders should be alert for signs of a reversal or consolidation, especially if the price fails to break through the recent highs. Stay tuned for more updates and analysis on SPLG and other major indices!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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