SPX S&P 500 Fell 10% After the Last U.S. Credit Downgrade !!!
Mis à jour
Fitch Ratings made a significant move by downgrading the US debt rating on Tuesday, shifting it from the highest AAA rating to AA+. The downgrade was attributed to a "steady deterioration in standards of governance." This decision followed intense negotiations among lawmakers to reach a debt ceiling deal, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
The S&P 500 experienced a notable decline of 10% within three months after the previous U.S. credit downgrade. The downgrade occurred on August 5, 2011, by Standard & Poor's, one of the major credit rating firms, following another intense debt ceiling battle. The day after the S&P downgrade, the S&P 500 suffered a nearly 7% drop, dubbed "Black Monday." Subsequently, the benchmark index declined by 5.7% that month and an additional 7.2% in September.
Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, emphasized that the 12-year-old news of S&P being the first to downgrade was significant, allowing investors to adjust their perceptions of the world's most important bond market, which was no longer considered pure AAA. Nonetheless, Fitch's recent decision to downgrade remains impactful.
In the current scenario, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, the highest since November 2022.
As for my price target for this year, it remains at $4900, as illustrated in the chart provided below:
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
The S&P 500 experienced a notable decline of 10% within three months after the previous U.S. credit downgrade. The downgrade occurred on August 5, 2011, by Standard & Poor's, one of the major credit rating firms, following another intense debt ceiling battle. The day after the S&P downgrade, the S&P 500 suffered a nearly 7% drop, dubbed "Black Monday." Subsequently, the benchmark index declined by 5.7% that month and an additional 7.2% in September.
Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, emphasized that the 12-year-old news of S&P being the first to downgrade was significant, allowing investors to adjust their perceptions of the world's most important bond market, which was no longer considered pure AAA. Nonetheless, Fitch's recent decision to downgrade remains impactful.
In the current scenario, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, the highest since November 2022.
As for my price target for this year, it remains at $4900, as illustrated in the chart provided below:
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Transaction en cours
SPX following the trendline so far!Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte
SPX reached $4100 on Oct 27, extremely close to the $4080 price target! So that U.S. Credit Downgrade statistic really worked.
Private Signals patreon.com/PremiumOptionsSignals
BUYSELL indicators tradingindicators.store/
TRADING COURSE bit.ly/tradex
RESULTS bit.ly/topgx
1%/DAY: bit.ly/3F56VTW
BYBIT partner.bybit.com/b/37880
BUYSELL indicators tradingindicators.store/
TRADING COURSE bit.ly/tradex
RESULTS bit.ly/topgx
1%/DAY: bit.ly/3F56VTW
BYBIT partner.bybit.com/b/37880
Publications connexes
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.