dtingbudong

Never mind the taper tantrum: Buy Gold

Long
dtingbudong Mis à jour   
TVC:TNX   CBOE 10 YR TREASURY NOTE YIELD
After a long downtrend that is starting to look like a bull-flag type pattern, gold has reached a historically important level - which has corresponded with multiple inflection points since 2011 (including March 2020).

Gold has a clear negative relationship with 10 year rates - which are also at a key historical inflection point in a sharp rise amid a multi-year secular downtrend. Rates are already rejecting hard off a key fib level (red line), and we should expect them to go down in the coming months. Furthermore, the 10-year RSI is at historically high levels. Previous iterations over 70 have usually corresponded with the start of major declines in 10-year rates.

All these factors together suggest now is the time to go long on Gold.
Commentaire:
Hey, well at least Gold is up.
Commentaire:

Double bottom formed, breakout confirmed. Also, TNX rejected off the fib line just as expected and is now down more than 20 points from the highs.

Gold is hella bullish.
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