TESLA: Should HSBC's $146 target price scare the market?

9 nov. 2023

On first impression it is obvious that this reduced rating of Tesla shares by HSBC, did scare the market as the price is falling more than -6% intra day. The 1D technical outlook is now bearish (RSI = 37.472, MACD = -7.750, ADX = 34.942) with the price dropping below the 1D MA200, despite having it hold the last 4 sessions. Perhaps the most dangerous development is the rejection of the RSI on the LH trendline of June.

That is also evident on the 4H timeframe, the same LH trendline is present and just rejected the RSI. On the bright side though, the 4H timeframe shows that the current pattern is an Inverse Head and Shoulders similar to the bottom patterns of August, April and January. All those patterns former the RS (Right Shoulder) under the 4H MA50 but over, even slightly, the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Now the price is slightly under it. If it closes there, consider it a bearish sign for the short term.

On the long term, the key is where the 1W candle will close. With the 1W MA50 and MA200 on top of each other, the last two weekly candles closed over them, which hints towards a bottom formation. If the week closes again above them, consider it a bullish sign. If below, then HSBC's target may soon become a reality as selling order will pile up.

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