USDJPY is ready to go down after September rates cut

21 mars

Resumption of the rate up to 151.00 and rebound of the US Dollar: The US Dollar has shown a recovery, bringing the USD/JPY rate back up to 151.00. This suggests an increase in demand for US Dollars compared to the Japanese Yen, which could be influenced by a range of economic and geopolitical factors.

Upward revision of US economic outlook: The upward revision of the US economic outlook has further supported the US Dollar. This can be interpreted as a sign of confidence in the strength of the US economy, which may attract investors towards the Dollar.

Expectations of Japanese intervention and accommodative stance of the BoJ: Despite growing expectations of intervention by Japan to limit the strength of the Yen, the accommodative stance of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) appears to limit the effectiveness of such measures. This could indicate a challenge for Japan in managing the exchange rate of its currency.

Region-specific demand in global markets: There is region-specific demand in global markets, with risk-sensitive assets in Europe under pressure and a surprising reduction in interest rates by the Swiss National Bank. These events may impact the movement of the USD/JPY rate as they reflect capital flows and global economic dynamics.

Federal Reserve (Fed) projections and monetary policy: Federal Reserve projections indicate an upward revision of the US growth rate, which could influence monetary policy decisions and movements of the US Dollar. Speculation about imminent interest rate cuts may also weigh on the US Dollar.

Speculation about Japanese intervention and statements from the Japanese Finance Minister: Speculation about Japanese intervention in the foreign exchange market and statements from the Japanese Finance Minister reflect attention on the USD/JPY exchange rate and may influence investor confidence in the Japanese Yen.