USOIL in longterm demand zone

With the price now hovering near its lows since fall 2010 it would make a perfect entry point to play a bounce.

The fact that the last high didnt reach the longterm supply zone does not justify a freefall without major retraces.
Only 3 out of the past 21 weeks gave gains, with the drop now being in its 8th consecutive week.


3 Reasons for opening a long here:

1. We're playing with the lower BB band again, after that massive drop from 90-80
2. The RSI shows the drop might be losing strength
3. All the while being in this longterm supply zone.


These reasons would advocate for a bounce. I chose the 0.5 and 0.618 fib levels for that.

If the longterm demand zone fails without any major retrace, too bad.



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