GOLD Price Consolidates Amid Mixed Sentiment...

Gold Price Consolidates Amid Mixed Sentiment, US Dollar's Impact

Gold price (XAU/USD) finds itself in a phase of bearish consolidation, hovering at its lowest point in a span of five months. Despite this downtrend, the precious metal has managed to retain some of the week-start rebound, driven by a backdrop of sentiment that is far from uniform.

The underwhelming performance of the US Dollar has provided some respite for XAU/USD, enabling it to recover from previous losses seen at multi-day lows. However, the market remains influenced by certain factors that are influencing recovery efforts. The resilience of Treasury bond yields and concerns related to China, a significant player in the gold market, are exerting pressure on the ongoing recovery. These factors are unfolding against the backdrop of a relatively light economic calendar.

Amid this context, the picture becomes more nuanced. While the United States has released generally positive economic data, there are lingering concerns around the nation's banking sector. Notably, recent credit rating downgrades from Moody's and S&P Global have added to market uncertainty. This cautious sentiment is impacting bond coupons, contributing to a weight on oil prices.

Adding complexity to the situation is China's ongoing efforts to bolster its post-COVID economic recovery. Despite a slew of stimulus measures aimed at supporting growth, these endeavors have not fully convinced market optimists, thus exerting downward pressure on the overall risk appetite.

Amidst these dynamics, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has declined for the second consecutive day, reaching an intraday low near 103.20. This movement precedes the anticipation surrounding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium, an annual event hosted by the Kansas Fed. Concurrently, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields briefly surged to their highest levels since November 2007, reaching 4.36% before slightly receding to 4.34%. This increase in yields contributes to the broader market's cautious stance.

Additionally, the S&P 500 Futures are displaying modest losses, reversing a prior recovery from a nine-week low. This highlights the ongoing volatility and uncertainty within the equities market.

As the gold market navigates through these intricate dynamics, the mixed sentiment, along with the influence of the US Dollar's performance and macroeconomic factors, is shaping its trajectory. Investors and market participants are keenly watching the interplay of these elements, as they prepare for potential shifts and developments that could further influence gold prices in the near future.


TurnAround Point : 1895.00

Our preference

Long positions above 1895.00 with targets at 1905.00 & 1907.00 in extension.