Pattern Formation: The stock is within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend in the long term. However, the price has recently slipped below a key support zone (possibly the channel's lower boundary), signaling potential weakness. Fibonacci Levels: Key support lies around S1 (200 INR). Resistance levels are at R1 (280 INR), R2 (320 INR), and R3 (400 INR).
MACD Analysis: MACD histogram shows increasing bearish momentum. A bearish crossover is evident, indicating continued downside pressure unless momentum shifts.
Price, Moving Averages, and Volume (6-Month Chart):
200-Day Moving Average (DMA): The price is close to this critical support, near 230-240 INR, which could act as a bounce-back zone.
50-Day Moving Average (DMA): Downward sloping, reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
Volume Analysis: Spikes in volume on recent down days suggest selling pressure. Accumulation at the current levels may hint at possible demand.
Breakout Potential: Downside Risks: If the price fails to hold 200 INR, it could slide further to S2 (160 INR) or lower. Upside Breakout: A strong recovery above R1 (280 INR) with high volume could indicate the start of a bullish reversal.
A breakout above 320 INR (R2) will confirm sustained bullish momentum. Targets and Stop Loss: Immediate Support: 230-240 INR (200 DMA). Break below this level could lead to a sharp decline.
Stop Loss: Place a stop below 200 INR for long positions. Targets: Short-term target: 280 INR (R1). Mid-term target: 320 INR (R2). Long-term target: 400 INR (R3).
Strategy: Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims the channel and MACD turns positive, buy on a breakout above 280 INR with a target of 320 INR, maintaining a stop loss at 240 INR.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below 230 INR opens a downside target near 200 INR and potentially 160 INR. Watch for Volume Confirmation: A decisive breakout should be accompanied by high volume to confirm trend reversal.
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