Type : Bearish Momentum
Resistance : 1540'4
Pivot: 1494'0
Support : 1424'6
Preferred Case: On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud and within the descending channel , we have a bearish bias that price will rise and drop from the pivot at 1494'0 in line with the pullback resistance and 50% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 1424'6 where the swing low support and 61.8% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance at 1540'4 where the swing high resistance and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Fundamentals: Since both countries, Russia and Ukraine, are major exporter of agriculture goods and their persistent war will lead to a shortage of agricultural goods and give us a bullish bias for soybean .