Inflation Cycle – Commodities Lead Inflation Number
The last 50 years, we have seen gold, commodities, and inflation numbers move in cycles and in tandem together.
Though gold has picked up in recent years, make no mistake, the cycle between them is still intact.
If gold is leading the way, the rest should catch up subsequently.
Gold will likely remain high because of the easy money policy over the decades or the creation of off-balance debt.
Based on past cycle performance, commodities may come into alignment with gold, meaning there is a chance for commodities to catch up with gold.
When that happens, inflation will pick up again.
The inflation data to be reflected, such as the CPI or PCE, is usually a few months behind the commodity prices.
Therefore, the Fed has been in defense mode, combating inflation due to the weakness of the dollar, elevation of gold and firmness in commodities.
Some reference for traders:
Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation
1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50 / ZW
Gold Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 / GC
Soybean Oil Futures & Options - Its Minimum Fluctuation
1/100 of one cent (0.0001) per pound = $6.00 / ZL
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
Though gold has picked up in recent years, make no mistake, the cycle between them is still intact.
If gold is leading the way, the rest should catch up subsequently.
Gold will likely remain high because of the easy money policy over the decades or the creation of off-balance debt.
Based on past cycle performance, commodities may come into alignment with gold, meaning there is a chance for commodities to catch up with gold.
When that happens, inflation will pick up again.
The inflation data to be reflected, such as the CPI or PCE, is usually a few months behind the commodity prices.
Therefore, the Fed has been in defense mode, combating inflation due to the weakness of the dollar, elevation of gold and firmness in commodities.
Some reference for traders:
Chicago SRW Wheat Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation
1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50 / ZW
Gold Futures & Options – Its Minimum Fluctuation
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 / GC
Soybean Oil Futures & Options - Its Minimum Fluctuation
1/100 of one cent (0.0001) per pound = $6.00 / ZL
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.