OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

5 Bar Price Projection By Demirkan

Explanation of the Indicator
1. Indicator Initialization

indicator("5 Bar Price Projection By Demirkan", overlay=true): This initializes the indicator with the specified name and sets it to overlay on the price chart.
2. Momentum Calculations The following calculations are used to assess the market's momentum and volatility:

mom = ta.mom(close, 10): Calculates the momentum of the closing price over the last 10 bars. Positive momentum indicates an upward trend, while negative indicates a downward trend.

roc = ta.roc(close, 10): Computes the rate of change (ROC) of the closing price over the last 10 bars. Positive values indicate price increases, and negative values indicate decreases.

rsi = ta.rsi(close, 14): Calculates the 14-bar Relative Strength Index (RSI), which helps identify overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions. Values above 50 generally indicate bullish sentiment, while below indicate bearish sentiment.

[macd, signal, hist] = ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9): Computes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), which consists of the MACD line, the signal line, and the histogram. It provides insights into trend direction and momentum.

atr = ta.atr(14): Calculates the 14-bar Average True Range (ATR), a measure of market volatility.

3. Calculate Momentum Factor This section creates a composite momentum factor based on the individual momentum indicators:

pinescript
Kodu kopyala
mom_signal = mom > 0 ? 1 : -1
roc_signal = roc > 0 ? 1 : -1
rsi_signal = rsi > 50 ? 1 : -1
macd_signal = macd > signal ? 1 : -1
momentum_factor = (mom_signal + roc_signal + rsi_signal + macd_signal) / 4
Each momentum signal is assigned a value of 1 if bullish and -1 if bearish.
momentum_factor: The average of these signals indicates the overall market momentum. A value closer to 1 suggests bullish momentum, while a value closer to -1 indicates bearish momentum.
4. Calculate Projected Move for 5 Bars Later This section calculates the expected price movement based on the volatility and momentum factor:

pinescript
Kodu kopyala
move_size = atr * math.abs(momentum_factor)
projection_5th = close * (1 + (move_size / close) * momentum_factor)
move_size: The expected price movement size is determined by multiplying the ATR by the absolute value of the momentum factor.
projection_5th: The projected price five bars into the future is calculated by adjusting the current price based on the move_size and the direction indicated by the momentum_factor.
5. Draw a Line at the Projected Price This section visualizes the projected price on the chart:

pinescript
Kodu kopyala
var line projLine = na
if barstate.islast
line.delete(projLine) // Delete previous line
projLine := line.new(bar_index, projection_5th, bar_index + 5, projection_5th, color=color.blue, width=2)
var line projLine = na: Initializes a variable to hold the projection line.
line.delete(projLine): Deletes any previously drawn projection line to avoid clutter.
line.new(...): Draws a new line at the projected price, extending from the current bar index to five bars ahead.
6. Show Projected Price as a Label This section creates a label on the chart to display the projected price:

pinescript
Kodu kopyala
var label priceLabel = na
if barstate.islast
label.delete(priceLabel) // Delete previous label
priceLabel := label.new(bar_index, na, str.tostring(projection_5th, format.mintick), color=color.black, textcolor=color.white, style=label.style_label_upper_right, xloc=xloc.bar_index, yloc=yloc.price)
label.set_x(priceLabel, bar_index + 5) // Position 5 bars ahead
label.set_y(priceLabel, projection_5th + 2 * atr) // Position slightly above
var label priceLabel = na: Initializes a variable for the label.
label.delete(priceLabel): Deletes the previous label to maintain clarity.
label.new(...): Creates a new label to display the projected price. It is positioned five bars ahead and slightly above the projected price for better visibility.
Conclusion
The "5 Bar Price Projection By Demirkan" indicator combines multiple momentum indicators and volatility measurements to project potential price movements in the future. By visualizing the projected price with a line and label, traders can make more informed decisions regarding potential entry and exit points.

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forecasting

Script open-source

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