1. This indicator is created for those who still believe in the functionality of moving averages. Indicator consists of several envelopes of moving averages and two separate averages. The selection of these moving averages is linked to Fibonacci theories and calculations. 2. The indicator shows moving averages (envelopes) of all market participants. From the smallest to the giants. 3. It should be noted that all averages are mainly calibrated to a 15-minute time frame. But I'm not saying that you can't use it on any TF. Because market is fractal. Groups: 1. (YELLOW ENVELOPES) The first group are scalpers and big traders. Yellow envelope! This is the largest group of traders, but with the smallest capital on the market. Why did I choose this envelope? To show who is in control of the market. The average duration of holding the price of this envelope is 12-16 hours (in trend phase) and therefore it is suitable for intra-day trading. If the price closes below this envelope, we know that their strength was no longer sufficient. However, as long as these two yellow curves do not cross each other, we consider this group of traders to be still dominant/active and their weakening was only partial, for example, due to a pullback, or due to manipulation of the price of stronger players. 2. (LIGHT BLUE ENVELOPE) When I mentioned pullback. Understand it as the return of the price in the trend. But who is capable of these pullbacks in the trend? Our second group of traders. Institutions. (Light blue color). Only their amount of money can cause the price to return to their point of interest and that is the light blue envelope. The average ability to hold the trend of the institutions is something around 1-2 days. If the price closes with a slow decline/rise below this/above this envelope, we can expect that their strength is still large enough. However, if there are movements that seem to cut through this envelope, it is the first indication that the institutions are losing strength. If there is a crossover of any yellow average across both institutional ones, we can expect a much bigger pullback in the trend. This pullback is then again mainly under the control of the institutions (rejections from the light blue envelope.) But where can this pullback go? Another market participant will tell us that! 3. (DARK BLUE ENVELOPE) Market makers are another participant. Their task is to maintain balance on the market. This means that the market does not only go up or only down. That's what the envelope of market makers is for. This envelope is considered a trend defender. What makes it special. It can hold a trend even for days. We can consider the return to this envelope as a supply and demand strategy. In the trend, the price will come back here as a pullback and then rocket back into the original trend. I'll tell you what you probably guessed, yes, we are moving here at the EMA200 level. So if the institutional (light blue) traders lose their strength, believe me that the envelope of the market makers is a very likely stop! When does a trend change occur and not a pullback? If there is a crossing of the light blue average with the entire envelope of market makers. The next test from the other side of this envelope confirms the trend change. 4. Let's skip the black envelope for the moment. 5. (PURPLE ENVELOPE) Let's explain the purple envelope. It is the envelope of market makers and especially hedge funds. What do you think when the price closes below the EMA200 (originally a bull trend) and even tests it below? "We have a trend change now we definitely have a down trend!!!" Uhm. NOPE :D. That's their job. To show you what they want you to believe. What does this result in? Filling their large orders, which eventually means that you were caught and liquidated with your positions. By testing, you will find out how many times you thought there was a trend change, but after you see how the price reacts from the purple envelope, you will understand that until now you did not know at all when a general trend change occurs. When we talk about a trend change in the long term , occurs when the EMA200 (dark blue envelope) crosses this purple envelope. This purple envelope is able to keep the price trending for an average of 3 weeks. Don't get caught that the trend change is when the price closes below the EMA200.Or "golden cross" 6. (BLACK ENVELOPE) Did we miss something though? So let's go back to the meaning of the black envelope. When you take a good look at the trend and notice all the envelopes lined up nicely and focus on the dark blue envelope and the purple envelope. Don't you feel like you're seeing Fibonacci's return? Or as if you see the price in the premium zone?.78%-88%. Yes, it's exactly this envelope. Sometimes market makers and funds are satisfied with the price in this envelope and are willing to continue buying or selling from this envelope. However, keep in mind, this can be a stop before testing the purple envelope - mostly the range is formed in this black envelope. Expect in such a case that they will test the purple envelope. Otherwise, take this envelope as a sign of a premium zone. 7. (ORANGE,TEAL and RED MA) The Orange,Teal and Red averages show a pure bank level. That is, our mentioned giants on the market. You will see for yourself on the market with what accuracy the banks return to these averages. You will see for yourself that trends really change only at these averages. You must have told yourself several times why and how patterns that resemble a letter are created in the market V or the letter A. Congratulations! Thanks to my indicator, you already know today! Because of these bank averages!!!
I wish you the best of luck with this indicator and hopefully it helps as many people as possible understand trends and how important simple lines can be! Which and how many envelopes or moving averages you will use is entirely up to you!
Warning: Everything published in this description or the functionality of this indicator serves only as educational content! Only YOU are responsible for all profits and losses!
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