Adaptive Zero Lag EMA v2This is my most successful strategy to date! Please enjoy and join the Open Source movement by sharing your code and ideas online!
OPERATING PRINCIPLE
The strategy is based on Ehlers idea that any indicator can be turned into a signal-producing trade system through smoothing and other filtering processes.
In fact, I'm using his Zero Lag EMA (ZLEMA) as a baseline indicator as well as some code snippets he has made public (1). God bless open source!
Next, I've provided the option to use an Instantaneous Frequency Measurement (IFM) method, which will adaptively choose the best period for the ZLEMA (2)
I've written other studies that use the differential calculus approximations for IFM, so it was only natural to include them in this strategy.
The primary two are Cosine IFM (3) and In-phase Quadrature IFM (4). You can also find an indicator with both plotted and the ability to average them together, as one IFM prefers long periods and the other short. (5)
BEFORE WE BEGIN
1. This strategy only runs on "normal" FX pairs (EURUSD, GBPJPY, AUDUSD ...) and will fail on Metals or Commodities.
Cryptos are largely untested.
2. Please run it on these time frames: M15 to D.
Anything outside this range will likely fail.
HOW TO USE AND SUCCEED
1. If the Default settings don't produce good results right off the bat, then lower gain limit to 1 or 2 and threshold to 0.01.
2. Test each setting under adaptive method . If you want to leave it Off , then I'd recommend using some kind of IFM (see my links below) to
discover the most efficient period to use.
3. Once you have the best adaptive method chosen, begin incrementing gain limit until you find a nice balance between profit factor (PF) and drawdown.
4. Now, begin incrementing threshold . The goal is to have PF above 2 and a drawdown as low as possible.
5. Finally, change the source ! Typically, close is the best option, but I have run into cases where high
yielded the highest returns and win rate.
6. Sit back, relax, and tweak the risk until you're happy with the return and drawdown amounts.
ADVANCED
You may need to adjust take profit (TP) points and stop loss (SL) points to create the best entry possible. Don't be greedy! You'll likely have poor
results if the TP is set to 300 and SL is 50.
If you are trading a pair that has a long Dominant Cycle Period , then you may increase Max Period to allow the IFM
to accept longer periods. Any period above the Max Period will be rejected. This may increase lag time!
Cheers and good luck trading!
-DasanC
PS - This code doesn't repaint or have future-leak, which was present in Pinescript v2.
PPS - Believe me! These returns are typical! Sometimes you must push aside the "if it's too good to be true..." mindset that society has ingrained in you.
Do you really believe the most successful pass up opportunities before investigating them? ;)
(1) Ehlers & Ric Zero Lag EMA
(2) Measuring Cycles by Ehlers
(3) Cosine IFM
(4) Inphase Quadrature IFM
(5) Averaging IFM
Dominant
Ehlers Smoothed Adaptive MomentumEhlers Smoothed Adaptive Momentum script.
This indicator was developed and described by John F. Ehlers in his book "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures" (2004, Chapter 12: Adapting to the Trend).
Ehlers Instantaneous TrendlineEhlers Instantaneous Trendline script.
This indicator was described by John F. Ehlers in his book "Rocket Science for Traders" (2001, Chapter 10: The Instantaneous Trendline).
Missile RSI (RSI of momentum w/ Dominant Cycle length + Fisher)This is a predictive indicator that looks for explosions in momentum of the cycles in price and large shifts in Momentum (Fisher turns the Bimodal PDF into Guassian like) as statistically unlikely events, showing points to exit or reverse positions.
You can adjust the lowpass frequency cuttoff (Aka what cycles you want to remove from the calculations through the super smoother filter).
To be honest you can monkey trade the direction of the Signal if you'd like but the Divergences and Maxing of the values is whats most useful.
Let me know if you guys want me to add anything else.
DFT - Dominant Cycle Period 8-50 bars - John EhlerThis is the translation of discret cosine tranform (DCT) usage by John Ehler for finding dominant cycle period (DC).
The price is first filtered to remove aliasing noise(bellow 8 bars) and trend informations(above 50 bars), then the power is computed.
The trick here is to use a normalisation against the maximum power in order to get a good frequency resolution.
Current limitation in tradingview does not allow to display all of the periods, still the DC period is plot after beeing computed based on the center of gravity algo.
The DC period can be used to tune all of the indicators based on the cycles of the markets. For instance one can use this (DC period)/2 as an input for RSI.
Hope you find this of some interrest.
Relative Vigor Index with Dominant Cycle Detection (RVI)Relative Vigor Index with Dominant Cycle Detection. As Ehler's mentioned, fixed length look back is inherently flawed when it is possible to extract a length from a dominant price cycle. may be less effective if signal to noise ratio is greater than 2, but that usually would not happen at >5m candles, and honestly shouldn't be looking at RV(igor)I when price is moving sideways.
Read just like an RVGI, but adjusted to the current time frame. To reduce noise, changing to heiken ashi will help with signals as well. Let me know if there are improvements!
Made for JD, the OG.
