NK-Heikin-ashi entry with defined Target and SL//Buy - Green heikin-ashi (with no lower shadow) is formed above vwap and Target at 50 pts and sqr off at cost.Exit at 15:01 if not //closed by then.
//Sell - Red heikin-ashi (with no upper shadow) is formed below vwap and Target at 50 pts and sqr off at cost.Exit at 15:01 if not //closed by then.
// need to update the code for trailing SL and fine tuning of Target for ATR Or ATR/2 or 40 pts for Nifty, etc..
Forecasting
BITCOIN Optimized Scalping by NHBprod -check out strategy reportHey everyone, here's a new scalping trading strategy script for Bitcoin, and I’m super excited to share it with you. It’s called the "BITCOIN BTC Optimized Scalping Strategy by NHBprod." It uses a modified version of RSI in conjunction with EMA to create a single buy and sell signal. These buy and sell signals are easier to read than traditional RSI + EMA indicators, because of the modification done to the RSI. Essentially, instead of having two zones in the RSI for oversold and overbought, I replaced it with a single zone. Once you have the EMA and RSI working together, then it can be tuned for BITCOIN which I have done as the default settings.This is the strategy script, but I also have the indicator script which can be used to automate buy and sell signals directly to your phone, email, or your bot.
What It Does
RSI: Measures momentum (like, is the market pumped or tired?).
EMA: Follows the big trend (like the market’s vibe over time).
Then, it smooshes all this data together and spits out 2 plot lines (EMA and RSI + RSI threshold line).
Backtest Results
Some notables:
I included slippage & I included commission.
Nearly 3% per order!
Pyramiding is turned on, since this is a scalping strategy.
10% capital per order.
Hundreds of trades, and covers the maximum amount of time allowed in tradingview.
The script is ready for BITCOIN and I deploy it on the 3 hour timeframe because for these indicators, 3 hours gives the indicators enough data and reduces the noise.
How to Use It
You may be able to use it in different ways, such as looking at the plot lines and determining when they are increasing or decreasing, or possibly when they are over/under certain values.
This strategy (and the pairing indicator script) is able to be used to trade long only. If you right click, you can set a 'buy' alert, and a 'sell' alert so that it can automatically remind you when to buy and sell, at ANY time of the day. Or, you can setup these alerts to be automatically sent to your broker if you are into automated trading :)
Daily Open LineIndicator Goal/Objective:
This is a Simple Code to show Daily Open Level in chart
This script plots a circle at the open price of the current day on the chart.
It marks the first bar's open price of each new trading day and
keeps the same value for the rest of the day until a new trading day begins.
It is only for analysis purpose only.
it is not a new indicator and can be replica of any other persons indicator.
The purpose of making indicator as an individual indicator is only for easiness.
Price Projection by Linear RegressionPurpose:
This is a TradingView Pine Script indicator that performs a linear regression on historical price data to project potential future price levels. It's designed to help traders visualize long-term price trends and potential future price targets.
Key Components:
User Inputs:
Historical Data Points (default 1000 bars) - The amount of historical data used to calculate the trend
Years to Project (default 10 years) - How far into the future to project the price
Technical Implementation:
Uses linear regression (ta.linreg) to calculate the trend slope
Converts years to trading days using 252 trading days per year
Limits visible projection to 500 bars due to TradingView's drawing limitations
Projects prices using the formula: current_price + (slope × number_of_bars)
Visual Elements:
Blue line showing actual historical prices
Red projection line showing the expected price path
Label showing the projected price at the visible end of the line
Information table in the top-right corner showing:
Current price
Final projected price after the full time period
Limitations:
Can only display projections up to 500 bars into the future (about 2 years) due to TradingView limitations
The full projection value is still calculated and shown in the table
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results - this is a mathematical projection based on historical trends
Usage:
Traders can use this to:
Visualize potential long-term price trends
Set long-term price targets
Understand the historical trend's trajectory
Compare current prices with projected future values
Bitcoin 1H-15M Breakout StrategyKey Features
1H and 15M Timeframes:
The script uses the 1-hour timeframe for the range and 15-minute timeframe for breakout conditions.
request.security is used to fetch the higher timeframe data.
Risk Management:
Variables entry_price, sl_price, and tp_price are declared explicitly as float with na initialization to handle dynamic assignment.
Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the specified Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) and buffer (in pips).
Trade Logic:
Long trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes above the 1-hour high.
Short trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes below the 1-hour low.
Visualization:
The range_high and range_low (previous 1-hour high and low) are plotted on the chart using dashed lines.
Debugging:
Enabling the show_debug input displays labels showing stop-loss and take-profit values for easier troubleshooting.
Neural Network Proxy Strategy Alt by NHBprodHey, this is a trading strategy I’ve been working on. It uses a combination of three technical indicators: Bollinger Bands (to measure price volatility), Average True Range (ATR, to gauge price movement range), and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF, to check the flow of money in and out of an asset). The script normalizes each of these indicators which is essentially a simplified version of machine learning to create a single combined score, which is kind of like a neural network proxy. If this score goes above 0.5, it signals a potential buy, and if it goes below -0.5, it signals a potential sell. It’s pretty cool because you can tweak the weights of each indicator to suit different market conditions. It even plots the combined score on the chart to help visualize the signals!
This strategy is built for Bitcoin specifically, and it's applied on the 3 hour chart. Check out the results yourself. If you traded this strategy using Long only, then it yielded a staggering ~3% per trade, and there are hundreds of trades in this dataset!
Commission and slippage are included by the way!
If you want to trade this strategy in real time, I also have a pairing indicator script, and you can easily right click on the chart to create a 'buy' alert or a 'sell' alert that can be sent directly to your phone, or email. You can also set it up so that it sends a message to your trading broker so that it automatically purchases and sells based on this strategy. If you'd like help setting that up, let me know!
Quasimodo PatternWhat is a Quasimodo Pattern?
A Quasimodo Pattern is a chart pattern traders look for to predict possible price reversals in the market:
- Bullish Quasimodo: Signals a possible price increase (buying opportunity).
- Bearish Quasimodo: Signals a potential price decrease (selling opportunity).
How the Script Works
1. Bullish Quasimodo:
- Checks if the price pattern shows signs of a potential upward movement:
- The current low price is higher than a previous price point (suggesting fair value gap).
- The previous candle closed higher than it opened (bullish candle).
- The candle before that closed lower than it opened (bearish candle).
2. Bearish Quasimodo:
- Looks for signs of a downward movement:
- The current high price is lower than a previous price point (suggesting fair value gap).
- The previous candle closed lower than it opened (bearish candle).
- The candle before that closed higher than it opened (bullish candle).
Visual Indicators
- Yellow Candles: Indicate a bullish Quasimodo pattern.
- Pink Candles: Indicate a bearish Quasimodo pattern.
Alerts
If a Quasimodo pattern is detected, the script sends an alert:
- The alert says: "A Quasimodo Pattern has appeared!"
Purpose
Traders can use this tool to quickly spot potential trend changes without manually analyzing every chart, saving time and improving decision-making for trades.
Year-over-Year % Change for PCEPILFEHello, traders!
This indicator is specifically for FRED:PCEPILFE , which is a 'Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index excluding food and energy.'
What this indicator does is compare the monthly data to that of the same month last year to see how it has changed over the year. This comparison method is widely known as YoY(Year-over-Year).
While I made this indicator to use for FRED:PCEPILFE , you may use it for different charts as long as they show monthly data.
FRED:PCEPILFE is one of the main measures of inflation the Federal Reserve uses.
You can see the YoY % change of the PCE Index excluding food and energy in the official website for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, but unfortunately, I couldn't find one in TradingView.
So instead, I decided to make my own indicator showing the changes using FRED:PCEPILFE .
The code is very simple: it compares the data to the data 12 points ago because 12 points would mean 12 months in this chart. We then multiply the result by 100 for percentage.
Doing so, we compare the current month to the same month of the previous year.
Because I am only interested in the YoY % Change of the index, I pulled the indicator all the way up, covering the original chart data entirely. (Or you could achieve the same by simply moving your indicator to the pane above. But this way, the original chart data is also visible.)
I hope this indicator helps you with your analysis. Feel free to ask questions if have any!
God bless!
ICT CRT Model Range with EquilibriumICT CRT Model Range with Equilibrium Indicator
This indicator calculates and displays the high, low, and equilibrium levels within a custom-defined session (9:00 am to 10:00 am New York Time and the lines will stop appearing at 16:00pm ). It draws horizontal lines to represent the session's range and marks the equilibrium point as a reference.
What is CRT (Candle Range Theory)?
Candle Range Theory (CRT) is based on the concept that every candle on any timeframe forms its own range. These ranges can either be manipulated—through strategies like Turtle Soup—or broken, resulting in price movements such as engulfing patterns, breakouts, and retests beyond the candle's high or low.
CRT is commonly visualized as a 3-candle model, but it can include more candles due to the presence of inside bars. An inside bar is a candle whose high is not higher than the previous candle's high and whose low is not lower than the previous candle's low.
The CRT model follows the A-M-D structure:
Accumulation (A): The first candle or group of candles (inside bars) represents market consolidation.
Manipulation (M): The second candle signals a false move, often a Turtle Soup setup designed to trap traders.
Distribution (D): The third candle confirms the true market move, breaking out of the range and establishing the trend.
Customizable Settings:
Line Colors: Choose your preferred colors for the high, low, and equilibrium lines.
Line Widths: Adjust the thickness of the lines for better visibility.
Line Styles: Select from solid, dotted, or dashed styles for each line.
Label Settings: Customize the text and colors of the labels for the high, low, and equilibrium points.
Traders can easily modify these settings to suit their visual preferences and trading strategies. This indicator is ideal for identifying price action within a specific range, offering clear visual cues for potential CRT Setup.
Lead-Lag Market Detector [CryptoSea]The Lead-Lag Market Detector is an advanced tool designed to help traders identify leading and lagging assets within a chosen market. This indicator leverages correlation analysis to rank assets based on their influence, making it ideal for traders seeking to optimise their portfolio or spot key market trends.
Key Features
Dynamic Asset Ranking: Utilises real-time correlation calculations to rank assets by their influence on the market, helping traders identify market leaders and laggers.
Customisable Parameters: Includes adjustable lookback periods and correlation thresholds to adapt the analysis to different market conditions and trading styles.
Comprehensive Asset Coverage: Supports up to 30 assets, offering broad market insights across cryptocurrencies, stocks, or other markets.
Gradient-Enhanced Table Display: Presents results in a colour-coded table, where assets are ranked dynamically with influence scores, aiding in quick visual analysis.
In the example below, the ranking highlights how assets tend to move in groups. For instance, BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, BNBUSDT, SOLUSDT, and LTCUSDT are highly correlated and moving together as a group. Similarly, another group of correlated assets includes XRPUSDT, FILUSDT, APEUSDT, XTZUSDT, THETAUSDT, and CAKEUSDT. This grouping of assets provides valuable insights for traders to diversify or spread exposure.
If you believe one asset in a group is likely to perform well, you can spread your exposure into other correlated assets within the same group to capitalise on their collective movement. Additionally, assets like AVAXUSDT and ZECUSDT, which appear less correlated or uncorrelated with the rest, may offer opportunities to act as potential hedges in your trading strategy.
How it Works
Correlation-Based Scoring: Calculates pairwise correlations between assets over a user-defined lookback period, identifying assets with high influence scores as market leaders.
Customisable Thresholds: Allows traders to define a correlation threshold, ensuring the analysis focuses only on significant relationships between assets.
Dynamic Score Calculation: Scores are updated dynamically based on the timeframe and input settings, providing real-time insights into market behaviour.
Colour-Enhanced Results: The table display uses gradients to visually distinguish between leading and lagging assets, simplifying data interpretation.
Application
Portfolio Optimisation: Identifies influential assets to help traders allocate their portfolio effectively and reduce exposure to lagging assets.
Market Trend Identification: Highlights leading assets that may signal broader market trends, aiding in strategic decision-making.
Customised Trading Strategies: Adapts to various trading styles through extensive input settings, ensuring the analysis meets the specific needs of each trader.
The Lead-Lag Market Detector by is an essential tool for traders aiming to uncover market leaders and laggers, navigate complex market dynamics, and optimise their trading strategies with precision and insight.
Fibonacci Trend [ChartPrime]Fibonacci Trend Indicator
This powerful indicator leverages supertrend analysis to detect market direction while overlaying dynamic Fibonacci levels to highlight potential support, resistance, and optimal trend entry zones. With its straightforward design, it is perfect for traders looking to simplify their workflow and enhance decision-making.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Supertrend Trend Identification :
The indicator uses a supertrend algorithm to identify market direction. It displays purple for downtrends and green for uptrends, ensuring quick and clear trend analysis.
⯌ Fibonacci Levels for Current Swings :
Automatically calculates Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 0.786) for the current swing leg.
- These levels act as key zones for potential support, resistance, and trend continuation.
- The high and low swing points are labeled with exact prices, ensuring clarity.
- If the swing range is insufficient (less than five times ATR), Fibonacci levels are not displayed, avoiding irrelevant data.
⯌ Extended Fibonacci Levels :
User-defined extensions project Fibonacci levels into the future, aiding traders in planning price targets or projecting key zones.
⯌ Optimal Trend Entry Zone :
A filled area between 0.618 and 0.786 levels visually highlights the optimal entry zone for trend continuation. This allows traders to refine their entry points during pullbacks.
⯌ Diagonal Trend Line :
A dashed diagonal line connects the swing high and low, visually confirming the range and trend strength of the current swing.
⯌ Visual Labels for Fibonacci Levels :
Each Fibonacci level is marked with a label displaying its value for quick reference.
⯁ HOW TRADERS CAN POTENTIALLY USE THIS TOOL
Fibonacci Retracements:
Use the Fibonacci retracement levels to find key support or resistance zones where the price may pull back before continuing its trend.
Example: Enter long trades when the price retraces to 0.618–0.786 levels in an uptrend.
Fibonacci Extensions:
Use Fibonacci extensions to project future price targets based on the current trend's swing leg. Levels like 127.2% and 161.8% are commonly used as profit-taking zones.
Reversal Identification:
Spot potential reversals by monitoring price reactions at key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.236 or 0.382) or the swing high/low.
Optimal Trend Entries:
The filled zone between 0.618 and 0.786 is a statistically strong area for entering a position in the direction of the trend.
Example: Enter long positions during retracements to this range in an uptrend.
Risk Management:
Set stop-losses below key Fibonacci levels or the swing low/high, and take profits at extension levels, enhancing your trade management strategies.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Fibonacci Trend Indicator is a straightforward yet effective tool for identifying trends and key Fibonacci levels. It simplifies analysis by integrating supertrend-based trend identification with Fibonacci retracements, extensions, and optimal entry zones. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, this indicator is an essential addition to your toolkit for trend trading, reversal spotting, and risk management.
Enhanced VIP-like IndicatorSettings Breakdown Tutorial: Optimizing a Trading Strategy
This guide explains the key trading strategy settings and how to customize them based on your trading style and goals. Each parameter is essential for tailoring the strategy to market conditions and your risk appetite.
1. Short Moving Average Length (Default: 9)
• Purpose: Tracks short-term trends using a small number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Smaller Values (e.g., 9): Quickly react to price changes, useful for fast-moving markets.
• Larger Values (e.g., 12-15): Generate smoother signals for less volatile trades.
2. Long Moving Average Length (Default: 21)
• Purpose: Identifies long-term trends.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 50): Spot broader trends at the expense of slower signals.
• Trend Analysis: The interaction of short and long MAs helps determine bullish or bearish trends (e.g., bullish when short MA crosses above long MA).
3. Higher Timeframe MA Length (Default: 200)
• Purpose: Filters long-term trends on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily).
• Settings Tips:
• 200 Periods: Standard for defining bullish (price above) or bearish (price below) markets.
• Adjustable: Use 100 for faster responses or stick with 200 for reliability.
4. Higher Timeframe (Default: 1 Day)
• Purpose: Defines the timeframe for the higher moving average.
• Settings Tips:
• Shorter Timeframes (e.g., 4 Hours): More frequent trading signals.
• Daily Timeframe: Best for swing trading and identifying macro trends.
5. RSI Length (Default: 14)
• Purpose: Measures momentum over a specific number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 7): More sensitive to price changes, ideal for quick trades.
• Higher Values (e.g., 20): Smooth signals for more stable markets.
6. RSI Overbought (70) and Oversold (30) Levels
• Purpose: Marks thresholds for overbought and oversold conditions.
• Settings Tips:
• Stricter Levels (e.g., 80/20): Fewer, higher-quality signals.
• Looser Levels (e.g., 65/35): More frequent signals, suitable for active trading.
7. Pivot Left Bars (5) and Pivot Right Bars (5)
• Purpose: Confirms pivot points (support/resistance) based on surrounding candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 10): Stronger but less frequent pivot points.
• Lower Values: More responsive, for traders seeking quick pivots.
8. Take Profit Percentage (Default: 2%)
• Purpose: Defines the profit level to exit trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 5%): For swing traders holding positions longer.
• Lower Values (e.g., 1%): For scalpers focusing on quick trades.
9. Minimum Volume (Default: 1,000,000)
• Purpose: Ensures sufficient liquidity for trading.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values: For lower-volume markets.
• Higher Values: Reduces risk in high-liquidity assets.
10. Stop Loss Percentage (Default: 1%)
• Purpose: Sets the maximum acceptable loss per trade.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 0.5%): Reduces risk, suited for conservative trading.
• Higher Values (e.g., 2%): Allows more price fluctuation, ideal for volatile markets.
11. Entry Conditions
• Options:
• MA Crossover & RSI: Combines trend-following and momentum for well-rounded signals.
• Pivot Breakout: Focuses on support/resistance breakouts for high-impact trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Trend-Following Traders: Use MA Crossover & RSI.
12. Exit Conditions
• Options:
• Opposite Signal: Exits when the trade’s opposite condition occurs (e.g., bullish to bearish).
• Fixed Take Profit/Stop Loss: Exits based on predefined profit/loss thresholds.
• Settings Tips:
• Opposite Signal: Ideal for trend-following strategies.
Summary
Customizing these settings aligns the strategy with your trading goals. Test configurations in a demo environment before live trading to refine the approach and optimize results. Always balance profit potential with risk management.
• Fixed Levels: Better for strict risk management.
• Breakout Traders: Opt for Pivot Breakout.
Bear Market LevelMarks the bear market level. Calculated as 20% drop from highs. Useful on indices to determine technical Bull or Bear markets.
Bitcoin vs Mag7 Combined IndexThis Mag7 Combined Index script is a custom TradingView indicator that calculates and visualizes the collective performance of the Magnificent 7 (Mag7) stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta (red line) compared to Bitcoin (blue line). It normalizes the daily closing prices of each stock to their initial value on the chart, scales them into percentages, and then computes their simple average to form a combined index. The result is plotted as a single line, offering a clear view of the aggregated performance of these influential stocks over time compared to Bitcoin.
This indicator is ideal for analyzing the overall market impact of the Mag7 compared to Bitcoin.
Dr. Elder Overbought Zone v2Only a test, work in progress. Trying to figure out when to a stock has had a too large move, and it's bound to return back to the mean.
Normalized Price ComparisonNormalized Price Comparison Indicator Description
The "Normalized Price Comparison" indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual tool for comparing the price movements of up to three different financial instruments on a common scale, despite their potentially different price ranges. Here's how it works:
Features:
Normalization: This indicator normalizes the closing prices of each symbol to a scale between 0 and 1 over a user-defined period. This normalization process allows for the comparison of price trends regardless of the absolute price levels, making it easier to spot relative movements and trends.
Crossing Alert: It features an alert functionality that triggers when the normalized price lines of the first two symbols (Symbol 1 and Symbol 2) cross each other. This can be particularly useful for identifying potential trading opportunities when one asset's relative performance changes against another.
Customization: Users can input up to three symbols for analysis. The normalization period can be adjusted, allowing flexibility in how historical data is considered for the scaling process. This period determines how many past bars are used to calculate the minimum and maximum prices for normalization.
Visual Representation: The indicator plots these normalized prices in a separate pane below the main chart. Each symbol's normalized price is represented by a distinct colored line:
Symbol 1: Blue line
Symbol 2: Red line
Symbol 3: Green line
Use Cases:
Relative Performance Analysis: Ideal for investors or traders who want to compare how different assets are performing relative to each other over time, without the distraction of absolute price differences.
Divergence Detection: Useful for spotting divergences where one asset might be outperforming or underperforming compared to others, potentially signaling changes in market trends or investment opportunities.
Crossing Strategy: The alert for when Symbol 1 and Symbol 2's normalized lines cross can be used as a part of a trading strategy, signaling potential entry or exit points based on relative price movements.
Limitations:
Static Alert Messages: Due to Pine Script's constraints, the alert messages cannot dynamically include the names of the symbols being compared. The alert will always mention "Symbol 1" and "Symbol 2" crossing.
Performance: Depending on the timeframe and the number of symbols, performance might be affected, especially on lower timeframes with high data frequency.
This indicator is particularly beneficial for those interested in multi-asset analysis, offering a streamlined way to observe and react to relative price movements in a visually coherent manner. It's a powerful tool for enhancing your trading or investment analysis by focusing on trends and relationships rather than raw price data.
Custom EMA/ATR/Keltner/Bollinger with Squeeze Setup 21-EMA and ATR-Based Analysis
21-EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Acts as a dynamic support/resistance level.
The price's relationship with the 21-EMA is used to detect trends and potential reversals.
ATR (Average True Range):
Measures volatility.
Used to define price thresholds for buy/sell conditions (e.g., price not more than 1 ATR above 21-EMA for a buy signal).
2. Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels for Squeeze Setup
Bollinger Bands (BB):
Calculated using a 20-period simple moving average and standard deviations.
Represents high and low volatility zones.
Keltner Channels (KC):
Based on a 20-period EMA and ATR.
Provides narrower channels for price action compared to Bollinger Bands.
Squeeze Condition:
Occurs when Bollinger Bands fall inside Keltner Channels, signaling low volatility.
These periods often precede significant price movements (breakouts).
3. Momentum Indicator (MACD Histogram)
MACD Histogram:
Measures momentum during a squeeze.
Positive histogram values suggest bullish momentum, while negative values suggest bearish momentum.
Used to predict breakout direction from a squeeze.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index) for Overbought/Oversold Conditions
Buy Signal:
RSI below 50 indicates a potential oversold condition, supporting a buy signal.
Sell Signal:
RSI above 80 indicates overbought conditions, supporting a sell signal.
5. Buy/Sell Signal Conditions
Buy Signal:
Price is not more than 1 ATR above the 21-EMA.
RSI is below 50 (oversold).
Price touches the 21-EMA within a small tolerance.
Squeeze condition is active.
Sell Signal:
Price is 3 ATR above the 21-EMA.
RSI is above 80 (overbought).
Additional Signals:
Buy: Price is 2 standard deviations below the 21-EMA.
Sell: Price is 2 standard deviations above the 21-EMA.
6. Visual Enhancements
Poisson Projection of Price Levels### **Poisson Projection of Price Levels**
**Overview:**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* is a cutting-edge technical indicator designed to identify and visualize potential support and resistance levels based on historical price interactions. By leveraging the Poisson distribution, this tool dynamically adjusts the significance of each price level's past "touches" to project future interactions with varying degrees of probability. This probabilistic approach offers traders a nuanced view of where price levels may hold or react in upcoming bars, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
---
**🔍 **Math & Methodology**
1. **Strata Levels:**
- **Definition:** Strata are horizontal lines spaced evenly around the current closing price.
- **Calculation:**
\
where \(i\) ranges from 0 to \(\text{Strata Count} - 1\).
2. **Forecast Iterations:**
- **Structure:** The indicator projects five forecast iterations into the future, each spaced by a Fibonacci sequence of bars: 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead. This spacing is inspired by the Fibonacci sequence, which is prevalent in financial market analysis for identifying key levels.
- **Purpose:** Each iteration represents a distinct forecast point where the price may interact with the strata, allowing for a multi-step projection of potential price levels.
3. **Touch Counting:**
- **Definition:** A "touch" occurs when the closing price of a bar is within half the increment of a stratum level.
- **Process:** For each stratum and each forecast iteration, the indicator counts the number of touches within a specified lookback window (e.g., 80 bars), offset by the forecasted position. This ensures that each iteration's touch count is independent and contextually relevant to its forecast horizon.
- **Adjustment:** Each forecast iteration analyzes a unique segment of the lookback window, offset by its forecasted position to ensure independent probability calculations.
4. **Poisson Probability Calculation:**
- **Formula:**
\
\
- **Interpretation:** \(p(k=1)\) represents the probability of exactly one touch occurring within the lookback window for each stratum and iteration.
- **Application:** This probability is used to determine the transparency of each stratum line, where higher probabilities result in more opaque (less transparent) lines, indicating stronger historical significance.
5. **Transparency Mapping:**
- **Calculation:**
\
- **Purpose:** Maps the Poisson probability to a visual transparency level, enhancing the readability of significant strata levels.
- **Outcome:** Strata with higher probabilities (more historical touches) appear more opaque, while those with lower probabilities appear fainter.
---
**📊 **Comparability to Standard Techniques**
1. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Traditional Approach:** Traders identify support and resistance based on historical price reversals, pivot points, or psychological price levels.
- **Poisson Projection:** Automates and quantifies this process by statistically analyzing the frequency of price interactions with specific levels, providing a probabilistic measure of significance.
2. **Statistical Modeling:**
- **Standard Models:** Techniques like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci Retracements offer dynamic and rule-based levels but lack direct probabilistic interpretation.
- **Poisson Projection:** Introduces a discrete event probability framework, offering a unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity that complements traditional indicators.
3. **Event-Based Analysis:**
- **Financial Industry Practices:** Event studies and high-frequency trading models often use Poisson processes to model order arrivals or price jumps.
- **Indicator Application:** While not identical, the use of Poisson probabilities in this indicator draws inspiration from event-based modeling, applying it to the context of price level interactions.
---
**💡 **Strengths & Advantages**
1. **Innovative Visualization:**
- Combines statistical probability with traditional support/resistance visualization, offering a fresh perspective on price level significance.
2. **Dynamic Adaptability:**
- Parameters like strata increment, lookback window, and probability threshold are user-defined, allowing customization across different markets and timeframes.
3. **Independent Probability Calculations:**
- Each forecast iteration calculates its own Poisson probability, ensuring that projections are contextually relevant and independent of other iterations.
4. **Clear Visual Cues:**
- Transparency-based coloring intuitively highlights significant price levels, making it easier for traders to identify key areas of interest at a glance.
---
**⚠️ **Limitations & Considerations**
1. **Poisson Assumptions:**
- Assumes that touches occur independently and at a constant average rate (\(\lambda\)), which may not always align with market realities characterized by trends and volatility clustering.
2. **Computational Intensity:**
- Managing multiple iterations and strata can be resource-intensive, potentially affecting performance on lower-powered devices or with very high lookback windows.
3. **Interpretation Complexity:**
- While transparency offers visual clarity, understanding the underlying probability calculations requires a basic grasp of Poisson statistics, which may be a barrier for some traders.
---
**📢 **How to Use It**
1. **Add to TradingView:**
- Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script Editor.
- Paste the script above and click **Add to Chart**.
2. **Configure Inputs:**
- **Strata Increment:** Set the desired price step between strata (e.g., `0.1` for 10 cents).
- **Lookback Window:** Define how many past bars to consider for calculating Poisson probabilities (e.g., `80`).
- **Probability Transparency Threshold (%):** Set the threshold percentage to map probabilities to line transparency (e.g., `25%`).
3. **Understand the Forecast Iterations:**
- The indicator projects five forecast points into the future at bar spacings of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead.
- Each iteration independently calculates its Poisson probability based on the touch counts within its specific lookback window offset by its forecasted position.
4. **Interpret the Visualization:**
- **Opaque Lines:** Indicate higher Poisson probabilities, suggesting historically significant price levels that are more likely to interact again.
- **Fainter Lines:** Represent lower probabilities, indicating less historically significant levels that may be less likely to interact.
- **Forecast Spacing:** The spacing of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead aligns with Fibonacci principles, offering a natural progression in forecast horizons.
5. **Apply to Trading Strategies:**
- **Support/Resistance Identification:** Use the opaque lines as potential support and resistance levels for placing trades.
- **Entry and Exit Points:** Anticipate price interactions at forecasted levels to plan strategic entries and exits.
- **Risk Management:** Utilize the transparency mapping to determine where to place stop-loss and take-profit orders based on the probability of price interactions.
6. **Customize as Needed:**
- Adjust the **Strata Increment** to fit different price ranges or volatility levels.
- Modify the **Lookback Window** to capture more or fewer historical touches, adapting to different timeframes or market conditions.
- Tweak the **Probability Transparency Threshold** to control the sensitivity of transparency mapping to Poisson probabilities.
**📈 **Practical Applications**
1. **Identifying Key Levels:**
- Quickly visualize which price levels have historically had significant interactions, aiding in the identification of potential support and resistance zones.
2. **Forecasting Price Reactions:**
- Use the forecast iterations to anticipate where price may interact in the near future, assisting in planning entry and exit points.
3. **Risk Management:**
- Determine areas of high probability for price reversals or consolidations, enabling better placement of stop-loss and take-profit orders.
4. **Market Analysis:**
- Assess the strength of market levels over different forecast horizons, providing a multi-layered understanding of market structure.
---
**🔗 **Conclusion**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* bridges the gap between statistical modeling and traditional technical analysis, offering traders a sophisticated tool to quantify and visualize the significance of price levels. By integrating Poisson probabilities with dynamic transparency mapping, this indicator provides a unique and insightful perspective on potential support and resistance zones, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
---
**📞 **Contact:**
For support or inquiries, please contact me on TradingView!
---
**📢 **Join the Conversation!**
Have questions, feedback, or suggestions for further enhancements? Feel free to comment below or reach out directly. Your input helps refine and evolve this tool to better serve the trading community.
---
**Happy Trading!** 🚀
Indicador CME - DOLAR BRLConversão do Dólar em Real pelo CME. Normalmente o gráfico do CME é Dólar/Real. Com esse indicador é possível inverter e obter o valor do real em dólar.
Santa Clause RallyA Santa Claus rally is a calendar effect that involves a rise in stock prices during the last 5 trading days in December and the first 2 trading days in the following January.
The Santa Claus rally can potentially predict the future trend of stocks in the coming year.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎄🎄🎄
Phase Cross Strategy with Zone### Introduction to the Strategy
Welcome to the **Phase Cross Strategy with Zone and EMA Analysis**. This strategy is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the crossover of smoothed oscillators (referred to as "phases") and exponential moving averages (EMAs). By combining these two methods, the strategy offers a versatile tool for both trend-following and short-term trading setups.
### Key Features
1. **Phase Cross Signals**:
- The strategy uses two smoothed oscillators:
- **Leading Phase**: A simple moving average (SMA) with an upward offset.
- **Lagging Phase**: An exponential moving average (EMA) with a downward offset.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when these phases cross over or under each other, visually represented on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) labels.
2. **Phase Zone Visualization**:
- The area between the two phases is filled with a green or red zone, indicating bullish or bearish conditions:
- Green zone: Leading phase is above the lagging phase (potential uptrend).
- Red zone: Leading phase is below the lagging phase (potential downtrend).
3. **EMA Analysis**:
- Includes five commonly used EMAs (13, 26, 50, 100, and 200) for additional trend analysis.
- Crossovers of the EMA 13 and EMA 26 act as secondary buy/sell signals to confirm or enhance the phase-based signals.
4. **Customizable Parameters**:
- You can adjust the smoothing length, source (price data), and offset to fine-tune the strategy for your preferred trading style.
### What to Pay Attention To
1. **Phases and Zones**:
- Use the green/red phase zone as an overall trend guide.
- Avoid taking trades when the phases are too close or choppy, as it may indicate a ranging market.
2. **EMA Trends**:
- Align your trades with the longer-term trend shown by the EMAs. For example:
- In an uptrend (price above EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize buy signals.
- In a downtrend (price below EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize sell signals.
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Consider combining phase cross signals with EMA crossovers for higher-confidence trades.
- Look for confluence between the phase signals and EMA trends.
4. **Risk Management**:
- Always set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
- Use the phase and EMA zones to estimate potential support/resistance areas for exits.
5. **Whipsaws and False Signals**:
- Be cautious in low-volatility or sideways markets, as the strategy may generate false signals.
- Use additional indicators or filters to avoid entering trades during unclear market conditions.
### How to Use
1. Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
2. Adjust the input settings (e.g., smoothing length, offsets) to suit your trading preferences.
3. Enable the strategy tester to evaluate its performance on historical data.
4. Combine the signals with your own analysis and risk management plan for best results.
This strategy is a versatile tool, but like any trading method, it requires proper understanding and discretion. Always backtest thoroughly and trade with discipline. Let me know if you need further assistance or adjustments to the strategy!
