Selected Days Indicator V3-TrDoes the stock drop every Wednesday? Do March months always move similarly? Does the 1st week of the month behave differently?
Do you ever say "it always makes this move in these months"? Don't you want to see more clearly whether it actually makes this move or not? Don't you want to see and test periodically repeating price patterns?
Hisse her Çarşamba düşüyor mu? Mart ayları hep benzer mi hareket ediyor? Ayın 1. haftası farklı mı davranıyor?
Bazen "bu aylarda hep bu hareketi yapıyor" dediğiniz oluyor mu? Gerçekten de bu hareketi yapıp yapmadığını daha net görmek istemez misiniz? Periyodik tekrarlayan fiyat kalıplarını görmek ve test etmek istemiyor musunuz?
1. Problem
Some stocks or crypto assets exhibit systematic behaviors on certain days, weeks, or months. But it's hard to see - everything is mixed together on the chart. This indicator isolates the days/weeks/months you want and shows only them. Hides everything else.
2. How It Works
Three-layer filter: Day (Monday, Tuesday...), Week (1st, 2nd, 3rd week of the month), Month (January, February...). Select what you want, let the rest disappear. Example: Show only Thursdays of March-June-September. Or compare every 1st week of the month. View as candlestick, line, or column chart.
3. What's It Good For?
Test "end-of-month effect". Find "day-of-the-week anomaly". Analyze crypto volatility by days. See seasonality in commodities. Discover patterns specific to your own strategy. Past data doesn't guarantee the future but provides statistical advantage.
Indicateurs et stratégies
Timeframe Overlay 24HrDaily High–Low Box (00:00–23:59)
This indicator highlights each trading day with a shaded box spanning from 00:00 to 23:59 (based on the selected timezone) and covering the day’s highest and lowest price.
• Green box when the day closes above its open
• Red box when the day closes below its open
• Historical days are fully drawn for easy comparison
• Current day box builds dynamically as new candles form
Useful for visualising daily range, market bias, and intraday structure across all timeframes.
RSI + STOCH RSI - Marx_CapitalSimple RSI + STOCH RSI indicator in one pane. In addition to the standard 30/70 and 20/80 RSI levels you have three adjustable levels (eg. 0, 50, 100) to indicate STOCH RSI overbought/oversold scenarios.
EMA 8 / 20 / 200Created to easily use the 8/20/200 strategy.
This indicator is designed to give a clear, multi-timeframe view of trend, momentum, and structure using three exponential moving averages.
1. Trend direction (EMA 200 – pink)
The 200 EMA acts as the long-term trend filter.
Price above the 200 EMA suggests a bullish market bias.
Price below the 200 EMA suggests a bearish market bias.
Many traders avoid taking trades against this higher-timeframe direction.
2. Momentum and trade bias (EMA 20 – blue)
The 20 EMA reflects short-term momentum.
When price respects the 20 EMA in an uptrend, pullbacks often provide continuation entries.
In downtrends, the 20 EMA frequently acts as dynamic resistance.
3. Entry timing (EMA 8 – yellow)
The 8 EMA is a fast reaction line used for precise timing.
Crosses of the 8 EMA over the 20 EMA can signal momentum shifts.
Strong trends often show price holding above (or below) the 8 EMA during impulse moves.
4. Confluence and trade filtering
The indicator works best when the EMAs are aligned:
Bullish alignment: EMA 8 > EMA 20 > EMA 200
Bearish alignment: EMA 8 < EMA 20 < EMA 200
Misaligned EMAs usually indicate consolidation or low-probability conditions.
5. Risk management context
EMAs can act as dynamic support and resistance:
Stops are often placed beyond the 20 EMA or 200 EMA depending on trade horizon.
Loss of EMA structure is a warning sign that the trend may be weakening.
In short, the indicator is a trend-first, momentum-second framework that helps you decide when to trade, in which direction, and when to stay out.
SHAP-Aligned BUY Signal (Daily, Edge-Triggered)Based on the XGBoost + SHAP interpretation report, I'll explain which indicators to monitor for buying NVO. However, I must emphasize that this model performed poorly (47.5% accuracy) and should NOT be used for actual trading! That said, here's what the model learned (for educational purposes):
📊 Top Indicators to Monitor for BUY Signals
1. Days_Since_Low (Most Important - 1.264)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: Higher values → UP prediction
What to monitor: Track how many days since the stock hit its recent low
Buy signal: When the stock has been recovering for an extended period (e.g., 100+ days from low)
Why it matters: The model learned that stocks in long-term recovery tend to continue rising
2. SMA_50 (50-day Moving Average) (0.413)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: Higher absolute SMA_50 values → UP prediction
What to monitor: The 50-day simple moving average price level
Buy signal: When SMA_50 is at higher levels (e.g., above $80-90)
Why it matters: Higher moving averages indicate stronger long-term trends
3. SMA_200 (200-day Moving Average) (0.274)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: Higher SMA_200 → UP prediction
What to monitor: The 200-day simple moving average
Buy signal: When SMA_200 is trending upward and at elevated levels
Why it matters: Long-term trend indicator; golden cross (SMA_50 > SMA_200) is traditionally bullish
4. BB_Width (Bollinger Band Width) (0.199)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: WIDER Bollinger Bands → UP prediction
What to monitor: The distance between upper and lower Bollinger Bands
Buy signal: When BB_Width is expanding (increasing volatility often precedes trend moves)
Why it matters: Widening bands can signal the start of a new trend
5. Price_SMA_50_Ratio (0.158)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: When price is ABOVE the 50-day MA → UP prediction
What to monitor: Current price ÷ SMA_50
Buy signal: When ratio > 1.0 (price is above the 50-day average)
Why it matters: Price above moving averages indicates uptrend
6. Momentum_21D (21-day Momentum) (0.152)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: Positive 21-day momentum → UP prediction
What to monitor: 21-day rate of change
Buy signal: When momentum is positive and increasing
Why it matters: Positive momentum suggests continuation
7. Stoch_K (Stochastic Oscillator) (0.142)
Direction: BULLISH ↑
Interpretation: Higher Stochastic K → UP prediction
What to monitor: Stochastic oscillator (0-100 scale)
Buy signal: When Stoch_K is rising from oversold (<20) or in mid-range (40-60)
Why it matters: Measures momentum and overbought/oversold conditions
BTC - Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard by RM Title: BTC - Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard | RM
Overview & Philosophy
The Bitcoin Strategic Dashboard is a comprehensive analytics tool designed to provide deeper market context beyond simple price action.
While a standard chart displays price history, this dashboard focuses on the structural health of the market. It aims to answer clearer questions: Is the asset statistically overextended? Is the current volatility compressed or expanding? How is Bitcoin currently correlating with traditional equity markets?
This script aggregates key data points—Performance, Risk, Valuation, and Macro Correlations—into a single, organized table. It is designed to be a quiet, high-density reference tool that sits unobtrusively in the corner of your screen, helping to contextualize daily price movements without cluttering your workspace.
Methodology & Module Breakdown
The dashboard is divided into 5 strategic modules. Here is exactly how to read them, how they are calculated, and how to interpret the data.
1. PERFORMANCE
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin actually beating the traditional market, and by how much?"
BTC Return : The raw percentage growth of Bitcoin.
Timeframes: 1-Year (Tactical Trend) and 4-Year (The Halving Cycle).
Alpha (vs SPX / Gold):
Meaning : "Alpha" measures true outperformance. It tells you how much better your capital worked in Bitcoin compared to the S&P 500 (Stocks) or Gold.
Calculation : We use a Relative Growth Ratio. Instead of simple subtraction, we calculate the growth factor of BTC divided by the growth factor of the Benchmark.
Interpretation :
Green: Bitcoin is outperforming. It is the superior vehicle for capital.
Red: Bitcoin is underperforming traditional assets (Opportunity Cost is high).
2. RISK PROFILE
This section answers: "How dangerous is the market right now?"
Drawdown (DD):
Meaning : The percentage loss from the 1-Year High.
Interpretation : Deep Drawdowns (e.g., > -50%) historically signal generational buying opportunities (Deep Red). Small Drawdowns (< -5%) signal we are near "Discovery Mode" (Blue/Green).
Sharpe Ratio:
Meaning : The industry standard for "Risk-Adjusted Return." It asks: "Is the profit worth the stress?"
Timeframe : Annualized over 365 Days.
Interpretation :
> 1.0: Good. The return justifies the risk.
> 2.0: Excellent. (Dark Green).
< 0.0: Bad. You are taking risk for negative returns.
Sortino Ratio:
Meaning : Similar to Sharpe, but it only counts downside volatility as "risk." Bitcoin often rallies aggressively (Good Volatility); Sortino ignores the upside "risk" and focuses only on minimizing losses.
Volatility (Vol) & Rank:
Meaning : How violently the price is moving.
Calculation : We compare the current 30-Day Volatility against the last 4 Years of volatility history (Rank 0-100).
Interpretation (The Squeeze Strategy) :
BLUE (Cold / <25%): Volatility is historically low. The market is "compressed." Big moves often follow these periods.
RED (Hot / >75%): Volatility is extreme. High risk of mean reversion or panic.
3. VALUATION & MOMENTUM
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin cheap or expensive?"
Mayer Multiple (MM):
Meaning: A "Godfather" of Bitcoin ratios.
Calculation : Current Price divided by the 200-Day Moving Average.
Interpretation :
< 0.8 (Blue): Historically "Cheap."
1.0: Fair Value (Price = Trend).
> 2.4 (Red): Speculative Bubble territory.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Timeframe : 14 Days.
Interpretation : >70 suggests the market is overheated (Red). <30 suggests oversold conditions (Blue).
Trend (ADX) :
Meaning : The Average Directional Index measures the strength of a trend, not the direction.
Interpretation : Values >25 (Green) indicate a strong trend is present. Values <20 (Gray) indicate a choppy/sideways market (no trend).
vs 200W (Macro):
Meaning : The distance to the 200-Week Moving Average.
Interpretation : This line is historically the "Cycle Bottom" or "Absolute Support" for Bitcoin. Being close to it (or below it) is rare and often marks cycle lows.
4. MACRO CORRELATIONS
This section answers: "Is Bitcoin moving on its own, or just following the Stock Market?"
vs TradFi (SPX):
Timeframe : 90-Day Correlation Coefficient.
Interpretation :
High Positive (Red): BTC is just acting like a tech stock. No "Safe Haven" status.
Negative/Zero (Green): BTC is "decoupled." It is moving independently of Wall Street.
vs DXY (US Dollar):
Interpretation : Bitcoin usually moves inverse to the Dollar.
Negative (Green): Normal healthy behavior.
Positive (Red): Warning signal. If both DXY and BTC rise, something is breaking in the system.
5. HISTORICAL LEDGER
A Year-by-Year breakdown of returns.
Feature : You can toggle the comparison column in the settings to compare Bitcoin against either S&P 500 or Gold.
Usage : Helps visualize the cyclical nature of returns (e.g., the 4-year cycle pattern of Green-Green-Green-Red).
How to Read the Visuals (Heatmap)
The dashboard uses a standardized Bloomberg-style heatmap to let you assess the market state in milliseconds:
🟢 Green: Profit / Good Performance / Positive Alpha.
🔴 Red: Loss / Overheating / High Risk.
🔵 Blue: "Cold" / Cheap / Low Volatility (Potential Buy Zones).
🟠 Orange: Warning / High Drawdown.
⚫ Gray/Black: Neutral or Fair Value.
Settings & Customization
Visuals: Change the text size (Tiny, Small, Normal) to fit your screen resolution.
Modules: You can toggle individual sections on/off to save screen space.
Calculation: Switch the Historical Benchmark between "S&P 500" and "Gold" depending on your thesis.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. The metrics provided (Sharpe, Sortino, Mayer Multiple) are derived from historical data and do not guarantee future performance. "Cheap" (Low Mayer Multiple) does not mean the price cannot go lower. Always manage your own risk.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, bloomberg, terminal, dashboard, onchain, mayer multiple, sharpe ratio, volatility, alpha, risk management, Rob Maths
Multi-TF RSI+EMA+Clean S/R v6Visual Confirmation (What You'll See)
✅ EMAs: Blue (9) + Red (21) lines
✅ Pivot Points: Red circles (high) + Green circles (low)
✅ S/R Lines: Red resistance + Green support
✅ MTF Table: Top-right corner (RSI/ADX values)
✅ Signals: 🚀 STRONG BUY / 🔻 STRONG SELL labels
✅ Background: Green/Red tint during strong trends
Improved Candle Strategy (without daily squared)# Candle Pattern Trading Strategy
## Core Logic
Analyzes the last 5 candlesticks to identify "close at high" and "close at low" patterns, generating long/short signals.
## Trading Conditions
- **Long**: ≥2 bars closed at high in past 5 bars + current bar closes at high → Open long
- **Short**: ≥2 bars closed at low in past 5 bars + current bar closes at low → Open short
- **Filter**: If ≥3 doji patterns detected, skip trading
## Risk Management
- Stop Loss: Based on entry bar's high/low
- Take Profit: Risk × 2x multiplier
- Cooldown: No trading for 2 bars after entry
- Session Filter: No trading for first 5 bars after market open
## Configurable Parameters
- Lookback period, doji threshold, close proximity ratio, TP/SL ratio, cooldown bars, etc.
**Use Cases**: 1-minute and higher timeframes on stocks/futures
Price Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No Visuals)Price Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No VisuPrice Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No Visuals)Price Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No Visuals)Price Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No Visuals)Price Crossing 144 EMA Alert (No Visuals)als)
RMI Valid FVG & IFVGRMI • Valid FVG & iFVG (Smart Money Concept)
RMI • Valid FVG & iFVG is a precision-focused Fair Value Gap indicator designed for traders who follow Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT logic and want to filter out low-quality, random gaps.
This indicator does not plot every FVG.
It highlights only structurally relevant FVGs that form in the direction of the trend and have a high probability of being filled.
Core Features
Bullish & Bearish Fair Value Gaps
Inverse Fair Value Gaps (iFVG)
Trend-aligned FVG filtering
Automatic invalidation after mitigation
Clean background zones for clear visibility
Optimized for intraday trading
Adjustable settings for scalping, intraday & swing trading
Smart Filtering Logic
FVGs are validated using market structure context
Only FVGs that form within the active trend are displayed
Weak or low-probability gaps are ignored
Inverse FVGs appear after strong displacement and rejection
Zones are visually faded once mitigated
This helps reduce chart noise and keeps the focus on high-probability reaction zones.
Best Use Cases
Entry refinement after BOS / CHoCH
Confluence with liquidity grabs
Premium / discount zone trading
Intraday & session-based trading
Works well with ICT, SMC, price action & structure-based strategies
Recommended Timeframes
Scalping: M1 – M5
Intraday (default): M5 – M15
Swing Trading: M15 – H1
(Default settings are optimized for intraday trading.)
Important Notes
This is not a signal indicator
No repainting
No buy/sell arrows
Designed as a decision-support tool, not an automated system
Always combine with proper risk management and confirmation.
RMI • Precision over noise.
Trade structure, not randomness.
Expectativa de Juros (Fed)An indicator that measures future expectations for US interest rates, measured by the difference between the Fed's interest rate and pricing on the CME.
EMA 5/9 Angle + Candle Strength (SL=Open, TP=RR)EMA 5 / EMA 9 cross
Cross must have ~30° angle (approximated using slope → atan)
Entry candle must be bullish/bearish and also be Normal / 2nd Most / Most based on body-size percentile
Entry = close of signal candle
SL = open of signal candle
TP = 1:2 RR (editable input)
NSE Swing Breadth NSE Swing Breadth – Market Health Dashboard (0–200, % from Neutral)
Overview
NSE Swing Breadth – Market Health Dashboard is a market-wide health and regime indicator designed to track internal strength and participation across Large-, Mid-, and Small-cap indices in the Indian equity market.
Instead of focusing on price alone, this tool measures how strongly each segment is behaving relative to its own swing trend, normalizes those movements, and combines them into a single Market Health score. The result is a clean, objective dashboard that helps traders identify Risk-On, Caution, and Risk-Off regimes.
This indicator is best used for position sizing, exposure control, and timing aggressiveness, rather than individual stock entries.
Data Used
The indicator internally tracks three broad NSE indices:
Large Caps → NIFTY100EQUALWEIGHT
Mid Caps → NIFTYMIDCAP150
Small Caps → NIFTYSMLCAP250
Using equal-weighted and broad indices ensures the signal reflects true market participation, not just index heavyweights.
Core Logic
1. Swing Strength Model
For each index, the script calculates normalized swing strength:
Price is compared to its EMA swing baseline
The deviation from the EMA is normalized using the EMA of absolute deviations
This creates a volatility-adjusted strength value, allowing fair comparison across market regimes
This answers the question:
Is this segment pushing meaningfully above or below its recent trend?
2. Strength Converted to % from Neutral (Baseline = 100)
Each segment’s strength is converted into percentage-style points around a neutral baseline of 100:
100 = Neutral
+15 = +15% strength above neutral
–20 = –20% weakness below neutral
These values are plotted as three smooth lines:
Blue → Large Caps
Orange → Mid Caps
Purple → Small Caps
This makes relative leadership and divergence immediately visible.
3. Market Health Score (0–100)
The indicator combines all three segments into a single Market Health score:
Large Caps → 40% weight
Mid Caps → 35% weight
Small Caps → 25% weight
Extreme values are clamped to avoid distortion, and the final score is normalized to a 0–100 scale:
70–100 → Strong, broad participation
40–69 → Mixed / unstable participation
0–39 → Weak, risk-off conditions
Visual Components
📊 Market Health Histogram
A vertical histogram displays Market Health (0–100) with enhanced visibility:
🟢 Green (≥ 70) → Strong Risk-On regime
🟠 Orange (40–69) → Caution / Transition
🔴 Red (< 40) → Risk-Off regime
The histogram is visually compact and designed to reflect true market health, not exaggerated spikes.
📈 Strength Lines (Baseline = 100)
Three strength lines show % deviation from neutral:
Above 100 → Positive internal strength
Below 100 → Internal weakness
These lines help identify:
Leadership (which segment is driving the market)
Early deterioration (small/mid caps weakening first)
Broad confirmation (all segments rising together)
Dashboard Tables
📌 Market Regime Table (Bottom-Left)
Displays the current market regime:
🟢 RISK ON
🟡 CAUTION
🔴 RISK OFF
Along with the exact Market Health score (0–100).
📌 Strength Table (Top-Right)
Shows Large / Mid / Small cap strength as % from neutral, for example:
+18% → 18% above neutral
–12% → 12% below neutral
This avoids misleading interpretations and keeps values intuitive and actionable.
How to Use This Indicator
Risk-On (Green)
Favor full position sizes, trend-following strategies, and broader participation trades.
Caution (Orange)
Reduce leverage, tighten stops, and be selective. Expect choppiness.
Risk-Off (Red)
Prioritize capital protection, reduce exposure, and avoid aggressive longs.
This indicator is not an entry signal — it is a market environment filter.
⚠️ Important Style Setting (Required)
For correct visualization:
Settings → Style → Uncheck “Labels on price scale”
This prevents the indicator’s internal 0–200 model scale from interfering with the chart’s price scale and keeps the pane clean and readable.
Summary
NSE Swing Breadth – Market Health Dashboard provides a clear, objective view of market internals, helping traders align their risk with the true underlying condition of the market — not just price movement.
It is especially effective for:
Market regime identification
Exposure management
Avoiding false breakouts in weak breadth environments
Monthly DI+ & RSI StrategyOverview This strategy is designed to capture significant trend reversals and continuations on the Monthly timeframe. It combines the trend-following capability of the Directional Movement Index (DMI) with the fast momentum detection of RSI (Period 6).
Core Logic The strategy triggers a long position based on a dual-confirmation system. It looks for a specific "handshake" between Trend (DI) and Momentum (RSI).
Entry Conditions (OR Logic) A Buy signal is generated if EITHER of the following occurs:
Trend Trigger: DI+ crosses over DI- (while RSI is already bullish, trading above its SMA).
Momentum Trigger: RSI(6) crosses over RSI SMA(14) (while the trend is already bullish, with DI+ > DI-).
Exit Condition (Stop Loss)
Trend Reversal: The position is closed immediately if DI- crosses over DI+, indicating the bullish trend has been invalidated.
Default Settings
Timeframe: Optimized for 1M (Monthly) charts.
RSI: Length 6
RSI SMA: Length 14
DMI: Length 14 / Smoothing 14
Risk Warning This script is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always backtest on your specific asset classes before trading.
GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
💡 I. Indicator Concept: GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
The GARCH Adaptive Momentum Speed indicator provides a powerful, forward-looking
view on market risk and momentum. Unlike standard moving averages or static
volatility indicators (like ATR), GARCH forecasts the Conditional Volatility (σ_t)
for the next bar, based on the principle of volatility clustering.
The indicator consists of two essential components:
1. GARCH Volatility (Level): The primary forecast of the expected magnitude of
price movement (risk).
2. Vol. Speed (Momentum): The first derivative of the GARCH forecast, showing
whether market risk is accelerating or decelerating. This component is the
main visual signal, displayed as a dynamic histogram.
⚙️ II. Key Features and Adaptive Logic
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Dynamic Coefficient Adaptation: The indicator automatically adjusts the GARCH
coefficients (α and β) based on the chart's timeframe (TF):
- Intraday TFs (M1-H4): Uses higher α and lower β for quicker reaction
to recent shocks.
- Daily/Weekly TFs (D, W): Uses lower α and higher β for a smoother,
more persistent long-term forecast.
* Momentum Visualization: The Vol. Speed component is plotted as a dynamic
histogram (fill) that automatically changes color based on the direction of
acceleration (Green for up, Red for down).
📊 III. Interpretation Guide
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- GARCH Volatility (Blue Line): The predicted level of market risk. Use this to
gauge overall position sizing and stop loss width.
- Vol. Speed (Green Histogram): Momentum is ACCELERATING (Risk is increasing rapidly).
A strong signal that momentum is building, often preceding a breakout.
- Vol. Speed (Red Histogram): Momentum is DECELERATING (Risk is contracting).
Indicates momentum is fading, often associated with market consolidation.
🎯 IV. Trading Application
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Breakout Timing: Look for a strong, high GREEN histogram bar. This suggests
the volatility pressure is increasing rapidly, and a breakout may be imminent.
- Consolidation: Small, shrinking RED histogram bars signal that market energy
is draining, ideal for tight consolidation patterns.
Multi-Trend + Credit Risk DashboardHello This is showing 20,50,200 as well as some other useful indicators. hope you like it, its my first! D and P is discount or premium to nav
Session HeatmapIntraday Seasonality
Overview
Analyzes historical patterns by time of day. Identifies when volatility, volume, and open interest changes tend to be highest or lowest.
Features
Multiple Metrics: TR (volatility), Volume, and Open Interest changes
Flexible Grouping: View patterns by weekday or month to spot day-of-week or seasonal effects
Heatmap Visualization: Blue (low) to Red (high) color scale for quick pattern recognition
Percentile Mode: Reduces outlier impact by using 5th-95th percentile range
Timezone Support: Display in UTC alongside your local time
Metrics Explained
TR: Volatility - when markets move most
Volume: Liquidity - when participation is highest
OI Increase: When new positions are opened
OI Decrease: When positions are closed
OI Net: Net open interest change
Usage
Set your timezone and preferred slot size (30min/1H)
Choose a date range (relative or custom)
Select a metric to analyze
Use "Group By" to see weekday or monthly patterns
Switch to Percentile color scale if outliers dominate
Notes
Chart timeframe should be equal to or smaller than Slot Size
OI metrics require Binance Perpetual symbols
DST is not automatically adjusted; consider seasonal shifts for US/EU sessions
Daily Open Shift The "Daily Open Shift" System (V2.0)
1. The Setup (Indicators & Timeframe)
• Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart (Execution).
• Key Levels: Daily Open (DO) or New York Open (NYO).
• Trend Indicators:
o 24 & 42 EMA Ribbon (Exponential Moving Averages).
o 30-Minute Supertrend.
________________________________________
2. Phase 1: Establish The Bias (The Filter)
This is the V2 upgrade. We do not trade against the day's opening momentum.
1. Mark the Open: Draw a horizontal line at the Daily Open (00:00) or Session Open.
2. The "First 2H" Rule: Observe the price action for the first 2 hours after the open.
o First 2H are Green/Bullish? → You are LONG BIAS only for the rest of the session. (Ignore all sell signals).
o First 2H are Red/Bearish? → You are SHORT BIAS only for the rest of the session. (Ignore all buy signals).
________________________________________
3. Phase 2: The Signal (The Switch)
Wait for the chart to confirm your bias technically.
1. The Switch: Price must cross and close a 15M candle on the correct side of the Daily Open.
o Longs: Price switches from below to above DO.
o Shorts: Price switches from above to below DO.
2. Indicator Confluence:
o EMAs: Must be crossed in your direction (Green for Long, Red for Short).
o 30M Supertrend: Must match your direction.
________________________________________
4. Phase 3: The Entry (The Trigger)
We never chase the breakdown. We wait for the price to come to us.
1. The Pullback: Wait for the price to retrace and touch/wick into the 24/42 EMA Ribbon.
2. The Confirmation: Watch the candle that touches the EMA.
o It must reject the EMA (wick off it) and close respecting the trend.
o Do not enter if the candle closes forcefully through the EMA, breaking structure.
3. Execution: Enter Market Order immediately on that candle close.
________________________________________
5. Phase 4: Risk Management (The Math)
This is the V2 upgrade. We aim for higher profitability.
1. Stop Loss (SL):
o Longs: Placed strictly below the lowest EMA band.
o Shorts: Placed strictly above the highest EMA band.
o Logic: If price crosses the EMA band completely, the trend is dead. Get out.
2. Take Profit (TP):
o FIXED 3R (Reward = 3x Risk).
o Example: If Risk is $100, TP is set to make $300.
o Rule: Do not move the TP. Do not close early. Let the math play out.
________________________________________
Summary Checklist (Print This)
Time: Is the First 2H bias clear? (Green=Buy / Red=Sell)
Switch: Did price close above/below the Daily Open?
Trend: Are EMAs crossed and Supertrend agreeing?
Patience: Did I wait for the price to pull back to the EMA band?
Trigger: Did the candle close respecting the EMA?
Execution: Market Entry + Stop Loss behind EMA + Fixed 3R Target.
Mindset: Am I at "2/10" emotion? Set the trade and walk away.
Sustained 200 SMA Cross (Locked to Daily)For individuals looking to track trend changes against the 200 day simple moving average. We are measuring 5 consecutive days changing from the above or below the 200 day SMA as a flag for a potential shift in trend.
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