Ben_1148x2

ANF - Trend exhausted or further to go

Long
NYSE:ANF   Abercrombie & Fitch Company
ANF has had a couple of strong gaps up. The last exceeded its measured range. While it looks like we may have missed the opportunity, we're coming up on its highest performing month of the year. Over the past 20 years it closes November higher 60% of the time with an average gain of 8%.

To play this one, I'd look for a smaller play on a pullback to 51-52, which is the 0.382 of the fib extension and where it has confluence with VWAPs anchored to key areas around its recent gap up. A second long opportunity would be an entry at the top of the gap (more aggressive) or the opening of the gap (conservative). If that gap closes it will be important to review the volume and candlestick pattern to estimate whether it is a retest or a breakdown.




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