Rationale of Bearish AUD :
1. Last week, the risk-off sentiment did not help Aussie one bit (During risk off mode, AUDJPY always trading heavy : bearish). If the risk-off continues, I am expecting atleast a choppy AUD move on Monday, if not continuously pressured due to the next point – (bearish AUD)
2. RBA meeting 7th November 2017 was deemed as Dovish by the market, AUD have been pressured ever since. Ada second release on the meeting minute, usually doesn’t tell us anything new (bearish AUD)
3. No Chinese economic data as well this week (what?!)
4. Lack of significant economic data and fundamental drivers this upcoming week (potentially bearish AUD)
5. Gold have rallied this December but somehow last two weeks correlation a bit off (Gold up = AUDUSD up). My best guess of this "mis"-correlation of the Gold rally is a safe haven move) instead of anything else. (-)
6. Wages number is less than positive (bearish AUD)
7. Yield apparently down for Aussie 10-yr bond (bearish AUD)
Rationale of Bullish Yen :
1. Risk Off Sentiment Safe haven play, SUPER loose monetary policy
1. Last week, the risk-off sentiment did not help Aussie one bit (During risk off mode, AUDJPY always trading heavy : bearish). If the risk-off continues, I am expecting atleast a choppy AUD move on Monday, if not continuously pressured due to the next point – (bearish AUD)
2. RBA meeting 7th November 2017 was deemed as Dovish by the market, AUD have been pressured ever since. Ada second release on the meeting minute, usually doesn’t tell us anything new (bearish AUD)
3. No Chinese economic data as well this week (what?!)
4. Lack of significant economic data and fundamental drivers this upcoming week (potentially bearish AUD)
5. Gold have rallied this December but somehow last two weeks correlation a bit off (Gold up = AUDUSD up). My best guess of this "mis"-correlation of the Gold rally is a safe haven move) instead of anything else. (-)
6. Wages number is less than positive (bearish AUD)
7. Yield apparently down for Aussie 10-yr bond (bearish AUD)
Rationale of Bullish Yen :
1. Risk Off Sentiment Safe haven play, SUPER loose monetary policy
Commentaire:
Trade idea and sentiment still valid.
Ordre annulé:
Risk Sentiment could be ON.