will this time be different?

So, far ever since the drop below 80HMA BTC has possibly been in a bear market.
Considering the past performances of BTC falling 200DMA, 20WMA, 104HMA(weekly), or 80HMA(weekly) has resulted in a visit to 200WMA. I strongly believe that we are going down to 200WMA sooner or later.
Invalidation Point: Weekly candle closes above 80HMA.
Will this time be different? or history will repeat as always? What do you think?
wait and watch for me right now.
This is an extension of my previous analysis.
1. keeping it simple
2. Keeping it simple
3. History Always Repeats
This analysis is inspired by Harry