lofihenny

bitcoin has topped for this cycle. here's why

Short
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
technical signs btc has topped:

- bearish divergence on the weekly MACD and RSI
- bearish divergence on the monthly MACD and RSI
- weekly MACD crossed bearish
- 4 months out of this year has been spent in this rising wedge that broke down
- closed 2 weekly candles under 20 week SMA (crucial support for btc , especially in bull market phases)
- about 22 months into the cycle, top should be in now. (see Plan B's btc stock to flow chart)

now for some fundamental reasons:

- everyone expects a blowoff top so it wont happen. whales seemingly frontran this and are selling now
- retail is rediculously bullish
- fed taper narrative
- ive heard random people in public talking about nft's and crypto. this is not a normal thing for non-bubbles
- btc etf was introduced ( btc futures open was literally the top of the 2017 cycle)

if you know me in person, there is one more chart i have found that is a sure fire sign that the top is in. ask me to show u next time we are in person.
Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.