BTC prediction & analysis based on previous halving

1. BTC had its 2nd halving on the 9th of July 2016
2. 525 days later BTC reached its ATH in 2018
3. From the 2nd halving up until the ATH in 2018, BTC saw an increase of 4630%

*Based on the info above I just applied it to the 3rd halving

4. 3rd halving started on the 11th of May 2020
5. So 525 days after puts us at Mid October 2021
6. Apply the uplift (4630%) from the date of the halving puts BTC in the $400k region.

Thoughts/Opinions ???