Bitcoin , will it break 12.5K or not? Elliot wave analysis 22.07

We are currently observing a triangle at the 4th wave from the impulsive wave up.
couple of facts about the current move:
1- wave 3=wave 1, so it is not a strong wave 3
the triangle is quite a deep correction in this case (reached 50% retracement )
a simple fibo analysis suggest 11871 for the termination of wave 5
you can also see a strong resistance area at 12280
I am not seeing a screaming uptrend for bitcoin .
I dont think it can even get close to 13k.
after touching the target level we should expect a correction for the whole structure.
I have plotted my long term prediction for Bitcoin

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