Oil Retraces, but Finds Support

Crude has dropped to $106, but is holding strong at this level. News of the potential for peace in Ukraine has already lifted stocks this morning, and will put further pressure on oil which has already retraced from highs nearing our target at $132. The Kovach OBV has slid quite a bit, suggesting a bear divergence. We will see if the $100's hold as exuberance over the Russia/Ukraine war deliquesces into the oil market. Watch $101 and $100. If those do not hold, we have a vacuum zone down to $96.88. If we somehow catch a bid then $116 is the next target and we are likely to see resistance there.