CRWV Weekly Signal: Bearish Momentum Triggers PUT Setup

CRWV — Weekly Options / QuantSignals Katy Analysis (2025-11-28)

Symbol: CRWV
Current Price: $73.12
Expiry: 2025-12-05 (7 days)

📈 Katy Forecast & Signal

Direction: BUY PUTS

Confidence: 65% (Medium)

Predicted Move: $73.12 → $70.46 (-3.64%)

Trend: Neutral (Katy) / Bearish Momentum

Weekly Momentum: -2.31%

Time Series Analysis: Gradual decline through Dec 2nd; lowest point $68.01

💰 Trade Setup

Strike Focus: $70.00

Entry Price: $4.90 – $5.50 (mid $5.20)

Target 1: $8.32 (+60%)

Target 2: $10.60 (+104%)

Stop Loss: $3.75 (-28%)

Position Size: 3% portfolio

Delta: 0.671

⚠️ Risk & Considerations

Moderate Risk Warning: Medium confidence → consider reducing position size

Gamma Risk: Low (weekly expiry)

Options Flow: Neutral → limited institutional activity

Volatility: VIX 17.19, normal range

Katy-LLM Conflict: LLM recommends BUY CALLS; Katy clearly signals PUTS

🔍 Technical Notes

VWAP: $72.42 → near-term resistance

Weekly Range: $66.00 – $76.60

Volume: 6.7× average → distribution

Sector Sentiment: Tech sector cautious, AI hype concerns

TradingView Chart Insights

CRWV sitting in bearish consolidation

Potential support near $70, resistance at VWAP $72.42

Bearish momentum confirmed by weekly decline and volume spikes