Watch the $DXY for $CL_F #Oil

85
The recent move in the dollar has put a lot of pressure on oil recently...as it has been skidding around $80 the past few days.

Yesterday's API report showed a small increase in oil inventories and the market is waiting for confirmation from EIA later today.

It looks as though a confirmation has already been priced in and only an unexpected increase well above +600k barrels would shock the market to further downside in the short term.

The structural market to watch is the dollar which has seen a 200 basis point move in a very short time frame. The DXY looks quite a bit extended. If we get a reversion to the mean in the dollar...oil should explode higher.

Today we have quite a few Fed speakers and a 20 year bond auction which could move the dollar.

So today may be a make or break day for oil.

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.