Inflation released this week is expected a difference of 0.1 and 0.2. The written analysis over past months was correct and here's why.
Since Inflation highs in June 2022 at 9.1 and 15 months later to current 3.7, each Inflation release averaged 0.36. The actual drop for each Inflation release was 0.1 and 0.2 and failed to meet or exceed the 0.36 average.
The larger range to Inflation at 1.95 factored to 0.10 = 0.2. The actual release at 0.1 and 0.2 is mathematically correct but more so at 0.1. Because a release at 0.2 = 0.39 and bumps against the 0.36 average. A lower Inflation rate at 0.1 drops the range number from 1.95 to 1.75 or higher to 2.15. The average at 0.36 changes slightly but Inflation remains released at 0.1 and 0.2 for a very long period of time.
Since Inflation highs in June 2022 at 9.1 and 15 months later to current 3.7, each Inflation release averaged 0.36. The actual drop for each Inflation release was 0.1 and 0.2 and failed to meet or exceed the 0.36 average.
The larger range to Inflation at 1.95 factored to 0.10 = 0.2. The actual release at 0.1 and 0.2 is mathematically correct but more so at 0.1. Because a release at 0.2 = 0.39 and bumps against the 0.36 average. A lower Inflation rate at 0.1 drops the range number from 1.95 to 1.75 or higher to 2.15. The average at 0.36 changes slightly but Inflation remains released at 0.1 and 0.2 for a very long period of time.
