Commencez
Contrats à terme E-mini S&P 500
Long

ES - Volatility Contraction Pattern

Par SPYvsGME
Mis à jour
Expanding on the Volatility Contraction Pattern trade into XMAS.
snapshot

1. Strong Underlying Demand
  • Elevated Relative Volume compared to prior days’ average
  • A premarket gap or explosive move off the open
  • The potential for a breakout on higher time frames
  • Underlying significant support (20D-50D moving average)
  • Inability to breakdown


2.Recent Overbought / Supply Pressure
  • Higher lows
  • Extreme price contraction on low volume


3.Diminishing Suppy Characteristics
  • Begin to see the wave tightening
  • Consolidation into 20D,50D Moving Average


4.Decreasing Volatility
snapshot

5. Explosive Breakout (TBD)

!!!Not Trading Advice. Just a Bag Holder!!!
Note
Looking back at the past quad witching. it looks most like June 18th this year.
snapshot
Note
DEC 20. 2019. Gap down in morning. early AM rally.
snapshot
Note
Loaded up. Now we just have to hold the 50D.
Note
could still see a flush into the end of the day. Hedging my long position with shorter dated OTM puts.
Note
following up on the end of day flush idea. You can see in DEC 2018s correction ended shortly after the quad witching that year. It to had a pump from 10am to 11am then flushed the rest of the day into the following week before the bounce.
snapshot
Beyond Technical AnalysischristmasrallyTrend AnalysisVCPvcppattern
SPYvsGME
Aussi sur:

Publications connexes

Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.