EUR/USD - shakeout after Trumps speech - how to trade

After Trump's speech (in reference to 10 % punitive duties against china) at the beginning of August, the dollar fell into a severe recession and has slowly bottomed out in recent days. Today Trump gave another speech (after that, market volatility has increased dramatically) and announced that the punitive tariffs will be postponed (not cancelled, but postponed) and that he wants to start new talks with China in the next weeks. I expect them to fail again. From a fundamental point of view, this pair is currently a clear buy.

Technical view:
-market is in sideways trend between 1.116 and 1.123 range after a strong up movement. I generell is this sideways channel followed by another breakout
-Stochastic RSI already heavy over selled on 1H
-regular RSI near heavy over selled area on 1H
-market price touching currently the 200 day moving average. Expect fast down movement if next candles close under it and fast up movement if the next candles close above the red moving average line
-market price reached down side of Bollinger bands which is support

Transaction en cours:

long trade active - stop loss under 1,116

Trade fermée: ordre d’arrêt atteint:

trailing stop reached near entry

Transaction en cours:

short trade active

Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte