eacemi

EURUSD Forecast Week of 18-22 September

Long
FX:EURUSD   Euro / Dollar Américain
EURUSD parity stuck between solid points of support and resistance. On the top-side, we have strong long-term resistance by way of the 2012 low (two reversal days – 8/29 & 9/8 – as evidence of sellers), while on the bottom-side lies the trend-line rising up from April in confluence with support around 1.08200.

It seems that the direction of the EURUSD movement will become clear after this week’s FOMC meeting.

On weekly EURUSD Chart, we see that the price tested 1.18300 Fibonacci Retracement 61.80% of the downside movement started May 2014. This level is very important support for EURUSD. Breaking out this support may carry the price 1.16500 levels.

An important detail appears on the weekly chart. RSI divergence which indicates a bullish movement.

We can see the same RSI divergence on Daily EURUSD chart. EURUSD price is above Moving Averages 50 and 12. Stochastic Oscillator mix but looks bullish.

Price closed the week at 1.19400. In short term, it is important to make closings above 1.19100 for the continuation of upside movement.

Uptrend channel is very clear. We believe that EURUSD will test 1.20800 soon. This is an important resistance for the parity and breaking out of this level will confirm us 1.22300 and 1.24500. However, we will be keeping eye on 1.18400 support.
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