OrcChieftain

GBPJPY Triangle Breakout Settin Up Just Ahead of Jackson Hole

Short
FX:GBPJPY   Livre sterling / Yen japonais
Technicals: GBPJPY has been trading far above any pivot on the weekly chart. On 1D, we formed double top earlier this year (yellow highlight) with its second peak giving a birth to the symmetrical triangle. We are near the point where such triangle usually leads to a breakout. I don't there is any technical indication for the direction of the breakout, although the recent lows on 4h were agressively bought (picture follows).


Fundamentals: Both currencies are considered bearish to the overall market. GB's economy isn't doing great with the inflation running high and Japan keeps the rates way too low.

Catalysts:
→ Bankers are attending Jackson Hole Symposium. Anything they say to public may propel either currency in either direction.
→ Japanese CPI will be announced by Friday. Anything above expectations may spring speculations about shift in Japanese rates policies.

I would rather be shorting this pair as there is far more room.

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