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IOTA deviation out of range, or mark down into Summer'21 range?

BINANCE:IOTAUSDT   IOTA / TetherUS
Background:
IOTA has spent much of its existence ranging from 2018-2021. There was an explosive markup in Q1'21 with consolidation/accumulation following. Since Sep.'21 until 20 Jan.'22 price has ranged roughly between $1.00 and $1.55. Only recently has price fallen below the range.

Strategy:
Look for signs of weakness or confirmed deviations at boundaries to determine if price is simply deviating below, suggesting a return back to ~$1.55, or if price is falling back into Summer'21 accumulation range. Buy/sell the boundaries accordingly.

Invalidations:
Strong breakout above $1.55 or below $0.69

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