Kumowizard

Italy 10y vs Bund. Some spread re-compression

Short
3
Weekly:
- Ichimoku setup is not yet bullish until the spread level can not break above Kijun.
- Resistance zone of 1,36 - 1,41 % marked by Kijun and horizontal lines held again. We saw only a temporary push to 140 bps.
- Heikin-Ashi signal suggests loss of momentum, possible start of retracement.
- Key support is around 123 bps (means Italy 10y bond yield 1,23 % above German 10y yield)

Daily:
- Ichimoku is neutral, as Price could not break out of Kumo. Setup of averages prefers buy on dips
- Heikin-Ashi swing sell signal.
- Possible supports are at 1,30 (Kijun) and 1,27 (100wma and forward Senkou B)

As you know, I've been out of the spread trade for quite some time. Since then I held individual outright shorts in both Bunds and Italian BTP, but closed all positions.
I expect a trade down to 127 bps, there I will think about buying Bunds vs selling BTP again.


Clause de non-responsabilité

Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.