Natural we avoid buying in Friday upmove today fall done avoid

Parameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas MCX Futures (Dec 2025)
Last Traded Price (LTP) ₹448.30/mmBtu (Based on Image/Live Data Dec 8, 2025)
Price Movement (Day) 🔴 Highly Negative (-8.14%)
Current Trade 🔴 Strong Correction/Sell Active (Breakdown from highs)
Probability 🟡 Medium (55% for S1 test)
Confidence 🟡 Medium (Extreme Volatility, Indicators are conflicting)
Risk Reward (R:R) 1 : 1.5 [ breakdown below ₹447.00 & breakout above ₹465.00]
Max Pain Data not available for MCX Futures
OI 🟡 Mixed (Some contracts show decrease in OI, indicating long liquidation)
PCR (Put Call Ratio) Requires current options data
VWAP Price is likely trading below key VWAP levels due to the sharp fall.
Turnover 🟢 High (High volume accompanies the sharp price drop)
Volatility (IV/RV) 🔴 High (Extreme Price Change -8.14% suggests high volatility)
Options Skew Requires live Options Data
Vanna/Charm Requires live Options Data
Block Trades No recent significant reports
COT Positioning NYMEX data still suggests institutional buying, but profit booking is seen.
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟡 Weak/Neutral
ETF Rotation Not Applicable for MCX Futures
Sentiment Index 🔴 Bearish (Due to the sharp single-day correction)
OFI (Order Flow Index) Requires live Market Depth
Delta 🔴 Negative (Implied directional bias due to price fall)
Rotation Metrics 🔴 Negative (Price rotation towards lower supports)
Source Ledger Internal/API Data Aggregate & Image Input