India's inclusion in the JPMorgan Index is set to unlock billion

27 juin 2024

Big Win for India: Indian government bonds are now included in JPMorgan's emerging markets index, a first for the world's fastest-growing large economy. This move is expected to trigger significant foreign investments, reshape India's financial landscape, and boost economic growth.

Opening the Doors: The inclusion grants India a 10% share in the index, following the 2020 relaxation of foreign ownership restrictions. Analysts predict an additional $30 billion inflow over the next ten months, potentially raising foreign ownership from 2% to 5%.

Market Reactions: The yield on Indian bonds has already decreased, reflecting rising prices. However, bureaucratic hurdles remain a challenge for some investors.

Positive Outlook: Despite recent political developments, India's economic outlook is strong. S&P Global is considering a credit rating upgrade, and India offers a good yield premium with strong growth and favorable inflation.

Future Potential: India's bond market is poised for further growth with potential inclusion in additional benchmarks like the Bloomberg EM Local Currency Government Index and FTSE Russell.

Managing Volatility: The Reserve Bank of India is confident in its ability to manage potential market volatility due to the country's substantial foreign reserves exceeding $650 billion.

Overall, this inclusion marks a watershed moment for India's financial market, attracting foreign capital, lowering borrowing costs, and propelling economic growth.