PONDUSDT — Multi-Year Base, Preparing for Potential Reversal?

🔎 Overview

The PONDUSDT (1W, Binance) chart shows a long-term accumulation phase since 2022. Price has repeatedly bounced from the strong demand zone at 0.008–0.011, with the historical low marked at 0.00627. This zone acts as a “last line of defense” for buyers.

If this level continues to hold, POND could establish a multi-year base, potentially setting the stage for a major reversal. However, failure to maintain support may trigger a deeper breakdown.

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📌 Key Levels

Major Demand Zone (Support): 0.008 – 0.011

Key Pivot: 0.01018

Step Resistance Levels:

0.01254

0.01580

0.02699

0.03545

0.04419

0.05450


Major Resistance Zone: 0.10120 – 0.13154

Extreme Support (Invalidation): 0.00627

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🧩 Pattern & Structure

Accumulation Range: Price has been consolidating within the demand zone for years, forming a long base.

Multiple Higher Lows: Suggests buyers are defending key levels more consistently.

Supply Ladder: Resistance levels above act as a step-by-step staircase; a confirmed breakout often leads to a move toward the next resistance.

This structure often precedes a strong expansion phase once a breakout occurs.

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✅ Bullish Scenario

1. Initial confirmation: Weekly close above 0.01018 → opens the path toward 0.01254.


2. Breakout trigger: Strong close above 0.01254 with volume → target at 0.01580.


3. Momentum extension: Break above 0.01580 could fuel a rally to 0.02699, then 0.03545–0.04419.


4. Major reversal zone: If 0.02699 is broken with confirmation, POND could aim for 0.05450, and eventually the 0.10–0.13 zone.

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❌ Bearish Scenario

1. Rejection at pivot (0.01018–0.01254): Price fails to break out and falls back into the 0.008–0.011 range.


2. Breakdown of demand zone: Weekly close below 0.008 → exposes the historical low at 0.00627.


3. Loss of 0.00627: Would be a strong bearish signal, invalidating the long-term base and opening room for deeper downside.

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📖 Trading Notes

The 0.008–0.011 zone offers the best risk/reward for long-term accumulation, with 0.00627 as invalidation.

A weekly close > 0.01254 would be the first bullish trigger.

Medium-term targets can be managed step by step at each resistance level.

Range trading requires patience: accumulate near support, take profits at resistance, always respect stop-loss levels.

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🎯 Conclusion

Bullish View: POND is forming a multi-year base. A breakout above 0.0125 could open the way to 0.0158–0.0269.

Bearish View: If the 0.008 support fails, a retest of 0.00627 becomes likely.

POND is currently at a critical juncture, where the next breakout or breakdown could define the long-term trend.

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