Using S5TH (spx stocks above 200dma) as an oscillator timing cyc

20 mai 2024

Pretty cool feature. You can use the 9month moving average in S5TH (spx stocks above the 200dma) to time the market cycle. Figure out the upward momentum (with help of game theory and TNX cycle). In practice and theory peoples options should be predictable because everyone act in their self-interest, seeking safety (hypothetical riskfree) and potential.

I use this as an oschilator (like RSI).. above 50% reading is bull market (because more than 50% stocks above it's 200dma).

This thing points to bull market to at least like 2025 summer. Worth noting that business cycle and TNX patterns are key here.

20 mai 2024

Note

Market regimes (or risk-on, risk-off)
here we apply "spx" indice. whenever 9MAA is upward sloping (S5TH) and above 50%, spx has bull regime. The rest is interpretation, incentive and game theory? (Smart money use longterm graphs).