SPOT Delayed Earnings Move
Earnings Report Summary
On the morning of November 4, 2025, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) announced its earnings results for the third quarter, surpassing market expectations. The company reported earnings of $3.83 per share, notably higher than the consensus estimate of $1.87 per share. Revenue reached $4.99 billion, beating the expected $4.89 billion. This represented a 104.81% outperformance on earnings and a 13.93% increase in revenue year-over-year, with earnings growth at 140.9%. Despite this strong performance, Spotify provided guidance for fourth quarter revenue at approximately $5.17 billion, which is below the current consensus estimate of $5.32 billion for the period ending December 31, 2025.
Technical Analysis
Since mid-September, SPOT shares have been in a downtrend. A downward line of resistance had been identified, and as of today, the stock has broken above it. This movement also appears to form an undercut and rally pattern. However, several technical hurdles remain. Notably, the stock has not yet established a higher low or a higher high, which are key signals needed to confirm a reversal of the downtrend. Additionally, SPOT is currently trading below its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), 50-day moving average (DMA), and 200-day moving average (DMA).
Criteria for Reversal Confirmation
While there are signs that a reversal may be underway, further evidence is required. The first indication would be the formation of a higher low, suggesting some retracement without returning to recent lows. Following this, the stock would need to move above both the 21 EMA and 200 DMA. Should these milestones be reached, it could present a favorable risk-reward trading opportunity, with a stop loss placed just below the most recent established low.
Investment Considerations
SPOT may be worth adding to your watchlist, though the current setup does not yet meet the criteria for action under this trading strategy. It is important for readers to conduct their own analysis and consistently apply personal trading rules. All investments involve risk, and informed decision-making is essential when committing capital.
Earnings Report Summary
On the morning of November 4, 2025, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) announced its earnings results for the third quarter, surpassing market expectations. The company reported earnings of $3.83 per share, notably higher than the consensus estimate of $1.87 per share. Revenue reached $4.99 billion, beating the expected $4.89 billion. This represented a 104.81% outperformance on earnings and a 13.93% increase in revenue year-over-year, with earnings growth at 140.9%. Despite this strong performance, Spotify provided guidance for fourth quarter revenue at approximately $5.17 billion, which is below the current consensus estimate of $5.32 billion for the period ending December 31, 2025.
Technical Analysis
Since mid-September, SPOT shares have been in a downtrend. A downward line of resistance had been identified, and as of today, the stock has broken above it. This movement also appears to form an undercut and rally pattern. However, several technical hurdles remain. Notably, the stock has not yet established a higher low or a higher high, which are key signals needed to confirm a reversal of the downtrend. Additionally, SPOT is currently trading below its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), 50-day moving average (DMA), and 200-day moving average (DMA).
Criteria for Reversal Confirmation
While there are signs that a reversal may be underway, further evidence is required. The first indication would be the formation of a higher low, suggesting some retracement without returning to recent lows. Following this, the stock would need to move above both the 21 EMA and 200 DMA. Should these milestones be reached, it could present a favorable risk-reward trading opportunity, with a stop loss placed just below the most recent established low.
Investment Considerations
SPOT may be worth adding to your watchlist, though the current setup does not yet meet the criteria for action under this trading strategy. It is important for readers to conduct their own analysis and consistently apply personal trading rules. All investments involve risk, and informed decision-making is essential when committing capital.
Note
SPOT We "may" be working on that higher low here. Only time will tell, but patience is the key.
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I am under no obligation to post any action or update to any idea.
Follow me on "X" where I post more content.
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Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Ideas I publish are my own. They are not meant to be investment / trading advice. You are encouraged to do your own due diligence.
I am under no obligation to post any action or update to any idea.
Follow me on "X" where I post more content.
I am under no obligation to post any action or update to any idea.
Follow me on "X" where I post more content.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.