MEDIUM TERM: downtrend may have bottomed
When we look back at Intermediate wave ii in 2016. We find it lasted two months, and was an irregular zigzag correction : 2026-2121-1992. The current Intermediate wave iv correction is also three waves 2533-2802-2554, is just a bit more than two months, and appears to be a flat. The alternation setup, between the significant second and fourth waves of a bull market is clear.
After the SPX 2554 low the market rallied. The first rally looked impulsive (2554-2672) and we labeled it Minor wave 1. The pullback that followed to SPX 2586 we labeled Minor 2. Next we expected a Minor wave 3 liftoff. But all we have seen this week is a lot of choppy, buy the dip-sell the rip activity. Five gap openings, four higher, a 2% weekly gain, but a lot of chop. Medium term support is at the 2656 and 2632, with resistance at the 2731 and 2780 pivots.
When we look back at Intermediate wave ii in 2016. We find it lasted two months, and was an irregular zigzag correction : 2026-2121-1992. The current Intermediate wave iv correction is also three waves 2533-2802-2554, is just a bit more than two months, and appears to be a flat. The alternation setup, between the significant second and fourth waves of a bull market is clear.
After the SPX 2554 low the market rallied. The first rally looked impulsive (2554-2672) and we labeled it Minor wave 1. The pullback that followed to SPX 2586 we labeled Minor 2. Next we expected a Minor wave 3 liftoff. But all we have seen this week is a lot of choppy, buy the dip-sell the rip activity. Five gap openings, four higher, a 2% weekly gain, but a lot of chop. Medium term support is at the 2656 and 2632, with resistance at the 2731 and 2780 pivots.
Probabilities Algorithmic & AT analysis.