SPX Forecast up to Mid-Terms
Forecast based on:
- Mid-term seasonality (down in summer, spikes a few months before mid-term elections)
- Fed announcements that they will likely hike in July and September and 'we'll see' after that. Possible formation of a spring in September assuming Fed announces no further hikes
Likely catalysts:
- Inflation peaks and starts to fall
- US government has been teasing out end of trade war with China / reduction in trade tariffs since end of last year.
- End of Ukraine war is also another possible catalyst.
What happens after November? Melt-up to 6000? Double top? Let's worry about the next 3-4 months first.
- Mid-term seasonality (down in summer, spikes a few months before mid-term elections)
- Fed announcements that they will likely hike in July and September and 'we'll see' after that. Possible formation of a spring in September assuming Fed announces no further hikes
Likely catalysts:
- Inflation peaks and starts to fall
- US government has been teasing out end of trade war with China / reduction in trade tariffs since end of last year.
- End of Ukraine war is also another possible catalyst.
What happens after November? Melt-up to 6000? Double top? Let's worry about the next 3-4 months first.
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Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.