We have been working to finish Minor 5 since earlier today which will also end Intermediate wave C and Primary wave 4. Afterward the market will likely find new 52-week lows somewhere around 3400 by September/October of this year. By dissecting Intermediate wave C so far, we notice Minor wave 1 (yellow) was approximately 14 hours long and Minor wave 3 was only 10 hours long. Per the Elliott Wave rules, wave 3 cannot be the shortest. This would imply wave 5 must be no longer than 10 hours long. Assuming Minor wave 4 ended today within the first hour of trading, Wave 5 must end before 1330 eastern time tomorrow. The first set of Fibonacci levels are extensions based off of Minor wave 3 as its marked. The middle fibs are based on Intermediate wave A’s movement and the levels to the far right are the retracement of Primary 4 in relation to Primary 3’s movement. There appears to be some key levels around the 4040 range. This could be the area for the top tomorrow.
ALTERNATIVE ANALYSIS
This end was a few days earlier than my initial forecast, but plausible. Another possibility is that we are early in Minor wave 3 (likely in the early stages of its own wave 3). If this is true, then we would achieve a new high AFTER 1330 tomorrow. There does not appear to be anything newsworthy to stop momentum in the middle of day so this idea of remaining in wave 3 is likely. If we are in the middle stages of wave 3, we would likely find a top above 4100 early next week. I ultimately think we will begin trending down before the Fed comes out with the official rate. It will likely be 100 basis points or greater as well.
We shall see what holds true.
ALTERNATIVE ANALYSIS
This end was a few days earlier than my initial forecast, but plausible. Another possibility is that we are early in Minor wave 3 (likely in the early stages of its own wave 3). If this is true, then we would achieve a new high AFTER 1330 tomorrow. There does not appear to be anything newsworthy to stop momentum in the middle of day so this idea of remaining in wave 3 is likely. If we are in the middle stages of wave 3, we would likely find a top above 4100 early next week. I ultimately think we will begin trending down before the Fed comes out with the official rate. It will likely be 100 basis points or greater as well.
We shall see what holds true.
All forecasts are based on analysis of past behavior. Prior movements are not always indicative of future movement. Develop the theory, test the theory. Do your own research. Nothing in this analysis constitutes advice. YouTube For More. Good luck!!
