US STOCKS should fall especially tech stocks
Us markets
I am a 14-year-old demo trader in England don’t take this as finical advise I am still doing my gcses get a guru or professional to tell you what to.
Market preview
Going into this trading week stocks should continue to fall during this bear market and talks of a recession increase as the possibility of the fed being able to perform a soft landing because of their aggressive strategy to combat inflation. The phrase ‘melt up’ was used by CNN to show that stocks may soar before the inventible crash. This could occur because of investors believe that the strong us economy will prevail causing stocks to soar in price creating FOMO and a trend reversal is occurring. But because of basic market fundamentals such as high inflation a slowing economy and high energy costs caused by the Ukrainian Russian war will continue to fuel this bear market. Another reason why this bear market is here to stay is because of an inverted yield curve which Is where short term debt pays out more than long term suggests a bear market is here to stay even though it is an argued point that an inverted yield curve means a recession it does still resemble tough time for markets. Over the next two years, stocks have a high chance of having a melt-up. But Goldman Sachs still believes there is a 35 % chance of a recession.
Stocks and predictions what I think (DYR)
• NVDA (short)
• TWTR(long)
• AAPL(short)
• AMD(short)
• TSLA(neutral)
Us tech stocks have suffered recently with the Nasdaq dropping 4.19% in the last month with stocks such as NVDA dropping 23.87% in the last month and AAPL dropping 4.95% in the last month suggesting a strong bear market for tech stocks which shows us high growth stocks such as NVDA have been deeply affected because of rising interest rates and investor not willing to risk large amounts during this current market turbulence. Going into this week stocks should continue to drop especially high-growth stocks. The semiconductor producer NVDA will be very interesting to see because it is a high growth stock hitting its all-time highest at 329.85 in November 2021. NVDA gained over 121.1% in 2020 when gaming interest spiked during lockdown which is NVDAs main source of revenue. This tells us that even during bear markets the stock can be resilient so it must bear for another reason that it has lost over 33.85% this YTD. there are many reasons of why the stock could have fallen from monetary policy tightening, the fed aggressive strategy to target inflation, and fears of recession. But I believe it is because of soaring energy prices which I mentioned in my last idea. Energy costs can account for 20% to 30% of semiconductor producer’s energy costs. Energy prices have risen more than 250% since January, according to industry group Oil & Gas UK affecting NVDA’s earnings deeply.
TSLA currently is in a very weird position its earnings where though the roof with a 87% rise in revenues which blew the stock up to around the 1070-1080 levels which was last trader around early April. that shows us that the stock has respected the current bear market decreasing 4.9% YTD but has risen 6.48% in the last 3 months so it is a very volatile stock that will be perfect for traders with larger accounts to trade. But I would never open a short on TSLA always seems too dangerous for me its such a good stock any with Elon Musk being able to control the stock just by making tweet always seems bad to me. TSLA does seem to be in a down trend trading below the 200 MA and 50 MA.
Between a rock and a hard place, Elon Musk is trying to perform an LBO on TWTR as the management crew has deployed a poison pill to try to combat the unwanted takeover it could mean if Elon's takeover is rejected it could lead for him to sell his 9% stake in the company causing the stock price to fall. this uncertainty for TWTR could lead other investors into selling the stock. TWTRs competition with TikTok gaining in popularity and with cheaper ad prices with better exposure could mean less demand for TWTR ads which is their main source of revenue which could affect their earnings which is in 4 days’ time. even though the stock does have strong price momentum the company’s fundamental aspects aren’t as strong as its competitors. TWTR has a bullish chart pattern and other technical aspects which should lead to a increase in price .Even though the stock has had a recent rally it should still respect the current bear market in the longer term. over the next 5 trading days, I believe TWTR will rise but still fluctuate between the 55-45 price range even though fundamental aspects disagree. To conclude twitter is a very uncertain stock it all depends on if Elon’s takeover is successful. Elon himself said he’s “not sure” if the bid will be taken by the board. But he apparently has a plan b. if worst comes to worst and he sells his 9.2% stake in TWTR the stock will crumble. But he does seem passionate about making Twitter a private company.
AAPL should continue to fall as on Wednesday the death cross occurred where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average as well as the fears of a recession coming which will cut consumer spending which will cause cuts in AAPLs revenues. Which will dampen AAPLs earnings which is in 4 days which is expected to be worse than last quarter which will cause investors to sell decreasing the share price. Technical aspects are giving strong sell signals. MAs are giving off strong sell signals as well as the MACD giving sell signals
To conclude US stocks will continue to fall as fears of a recession is coming with the fed trying to perform a soft landing that has never been done before. An inverted yield curve and rising interest rates and US ten-year bond yields rising all fuel this current bear market where stocks are suffering. Over the next 5 trading days, stocks will continue to fall with a chance of a rally being possible because of people ‘buying the dip’. This is not financial advice don’t be dumb.
I am a 14-year-old demo trader in England don’t take this as finical advise I am still doing my gcses get a guru or professional to tell you what to.
Market preview
Going into this trading week stocks should continue to fall during this bear market and talks of a recession increase as the possibility of the fed being able to perform a soft landing because of their aggressive strategy to combat inflation. The phrase ‘melt up’ was used by CNN to show that stocks may soar before the inventible crash. This could occur because of investors believe that the strong us economy will prevail causing stocks to soar in price creating FOMO and a trend reversal is occurring. But because of basic market fundamentals such as high inflation a slowing economy and high energy costs caused by the Ukrainian Russian war will continue to fuel this bear market. Another reason why this bear market is here to stay is because of an inverted yield curve which Is where short term debt pays out more than long term suggests a bear market is here to stay even though it is an argued point that an inverted yield curve means a recession it does still resemble tough time for markets. Over the next two years, stocks have a high chance of having a melt-up. But Goldman Sachs still believes there is a 35 % chance of a recession.
Stocks and predictions what I think (DYR)
• NVDA (short)
• TWTR(long)
• AAPL(short)
• AMD(short)
• TSLA(neutral)
Us tech stocks have suffered recently with the Nasdaq dropping 4.19% in the last month with stocks such as NVDA dropping 23.87% in the last month and AAPL dropping 4.95% in the last month suggesting a strong bear market for tech stocks which shows us high growth stocks such as NVDA have been deeply affected because of rising interest rates and investor not willing to risk large amounts during this current market turbulence. Going into this week stocks should continue to drop especially high-growth stocks. The semiconductor producer NVDA will be very interesting to see because it is a high growth stock hitting its all-time highest at 329.85 in November 2021. NVDA gained over 121.1% in 2020 when gaming interest spiked during lockdown which is NVDAs main source of revenue. This tells us that even during bear markets the stock can be resilient so it must bear for another reason that it has lost over 33.85% this YTD. there are many reasons of why the stock could have fallen from monetary policy tightening, the fed aggressive strategy to target inflation, and fears of recession. But I believe it is because of soaring energy prices which I mentioned in my last idea. Energy costs can account for 20% to 30% of semiconductor producer’s energy costs. Energy prices have risen more than 250% since January, according to industry group Oil & Gas UK affecting NVDA’s earnings deeply.
TSLA currently is in a very weird position its earnings where though the roof with a 87% rise in revenues which blew the stock up to around the 1070-1080 levels which was last trader around early April. that shows us that the stock has respected the current bear market decreasing 4.9% YTD but has risen 6.48% in the last 3 months so it is a very volatile stock that will be perfect for traders with larger accounts to trade. But I would never open a short on TSLA always seems too dangerous for me its such a good stock any with Elon Musk being able to control the stock just by making tweet always seems bad to me. TSLA does seem to be in a down trend trading below the 200 MA and 50 MA.
Between a rock and a hard place, Elon Musk is trying to perform an LBO on TWTR as the management crew has deployed a poison pill to try to combat the unwanted takeover it could mean if Elon's takeover is rejected it could lead for him to sell his 9% stake in the company causing the stock price to fall. this uncertainty for TWTR could lead other investors into selling the stock. TWTRs competition with TikTok gaining in popularity and with cheaper ad prices with better exposure could mean less demand for TWTR ads which is their main source of revenue which could affect their earnings which is in 4 days’ time. even though the stock does have strong price momentum the company’s fundamental aspects aren’t as strong as its competitors. TWTR has a bullish chart pattern and other technical aspects which should lead to a increase in price .Even though the stock has had a recent rally it should still respect the current bear market in the longer term. over the next 5 trading days, I believe TWTR will rise but still fluctuate between the 55-45 price range even though fundamental aspects disagree. To conclude twitter is a very uncertain stock it all depends on if Elon’s takeover is successful. Elon himself said he’s “not sure” if the bid will be taken by the board. But he apparently has a plan b. if worst comes to worst and he sells his 9.2% stake in TWTR the stock will crumble. But he does seem passionate about making Twitter a private company.
AAPL should continue to fall as on Wednesday the death cross occurred where the 50-day moving average crosses the 200-day moving average as well as the fears of a recession coming which will cut consumer spending which will cause cuts in AAPLs revenues. Which will dampen AAPLs earnings which is in 4 days which is expected to be worse than last quarter which will cause investors to sell decreasing the share price. Technical aspects are giving strong sell signals. MAs are giving off strong sell signals as well as the MACD giving sell signals
To conclude US stocks will continue to fall as fears of a recession is coming with the fed trying to perform a soft landing that has never been done before. An inverted yield curve and rising interest rates and US ten-year bond yields rising all fuel this current bear market where stocks are suffering. Over the next 5 trading days, stocks will continue to fall with a chance of a rally being possible because of people ‘buying the dip’. This is not financial advice don’t be dumb.
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