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How close SPY bottom?

AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
Are we close to the equity bottom or it just started its way down? in the last financial crisis/bubble Spy pulled back from the heights over 50%, at the moment we are still siting at around -23% . So if we will repeat history movies then we should find a bottom at around 233 right where 2018-2019 bottom was. worth to mention that each time when SPY dropped over -30% from top we had a recession. Let's hope that this time history will not repeat it self and SPY will find support at 200EMA. Trade safe and cut loses short.
SPY
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