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UnknownUnicorn1043646

Credit - TLT Long 2023

Long
Obligations du Trésor Américain 20+ ISHARES ETF (NASDAQ:TLT)  
UnknownUnicorn1043646 Mis à jour   
NASDAQ:TLT   Obligations du Trésor Américain 20+ ISHARES ETF
Fundamental Analysis Trend Analysis options TLT US10Y US20Y bonds
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fundamental trendanalysis options tlt us10y us20y bonds
Idea for TLT:
- According to consumer expectations, US is already in a recession. Dow hit ATH through this, so a headfake is due.
- We have been patient, but Treasury auction today is a good turning point.
- Long Jan 20, 2023 145C for 8.60 debit

GLHF
- DPT
Commentaire:
This may well be the last auction before cutbacks, and signal a top in supply. Advantageous to grab them now while nobody wants them. Simple supply and demand!
Commentaire:
US10Y has topped at 1.666:
snapshot
Commentaire:
Short interest up 63% in 2 months, bond bears doubling down in their belief in the unreal (inflation), widow maker short squeeze here.
Commentaire:
B-but muh i-inflation!

snapshot

snapshot
Commentaire:
There is no doubt that those who are invested in the unreal (inflation) will be viciously squeezed:
snapshot
Commentaire:
Commercials are the most long UST in 3 years, while large speculators are equally short. Bonds are about to have an ungodly short squeeze. Goodbye inflation narrative.
Commentaire:
Seems I am getting quite good at catching bottom ticks!
snapshot
Trade fermée manuellement:
Closed for 10.70 debit (+24.4% gain), Will look to re-enter but I am afraid of the risk parity event which is drawing near
Clause de non-responsabilité

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