It isn't surprising to see the collapse in yields. However, what is a big tell and signal is the lack of buying in equities over the same period.
This would mean there is likely a crowding into bonds for the sake of squeezing out the appreciation (not the yield) and not an interest in using the lower yields in the bond market to buy more equities and take on more risk. This is a warning sign.
This would mean there is likely a crowding into bonds for the sake of squeezing out the appreciation (not the yield) and not an interest in using the lower yields in the bond market to buy more equities and take on more risk. This is a warning sign.
Note
Note, to complete my logic here, you'll need to pull up a chart of the SPY and look at what has happened to US equities during previous collapses in 10 yr yields. Equities have rallied.Note
My hypothesis is that it will be time to buy equities when the yield trend changes / bounces.Clause de non-responsabilité
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Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et les publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou des recommandations en matière de finance, d'investissement, de trading ou d'autres types de conseils fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.