This count is based on my assumptions so anything can happen not a trading or financial advice just for educational purposes only kindly do your own ta thanks trade with care good luck.
Tip:
If it happens to be the top. Let's just assume for a moment. Then this means..
If cpi goes down = fed rate goes down
Fed rate goes down = dxy goes down
Usd goes down = gold, btc, eur, jpy, chf, aud, nzd, silver all go up.
Why?
Well it's my assumption but inflation is too high for which fed raises rates.
Cpi is what makes fed decide whether it's gonna raise or not anymore (cpi higher fed raises rates).
If cpi is topped then I don't think the fed rate hike would make any difference in the market because this would be it's final and since (I believe) the market has made it's move already and as you can witness charts having supports on MAJOR tfs I don't think the raise in fed would make much difference or may do the opposite because it's what makes the cpi react that means cpi lags that means fed may not raise the rates as we have topped. Cpi what we have seen today was of AUGUST!!!!!!!!!!!!
So..
Even if the fed raises rates. Then the market would already have moved by then means no reaction because it was already anticipated (or as they say.. Buy the rumors!!!!!!! Sell the Nooz!!!. The news?
Fed is gonna raise the rates.
Anticipation? No surprise, (rate hike anticipated by 0.75 bps !! The market has already been moving as per the anticipation.
Cpi? Of course would FALL.
Means what happens AFTER that? No more raises!!! (My assumptions).
No raise? Reaction? Bonds go up yield goes down usd dxy goes down jpy eur gold silver btc goes up.
Good luck.
Tip:
If it happens to be the top. Let's just assume for a moment. Then this means..
If cpi goes down = fed rate goes down
Fed rate goes down = dxy goes down
Usd goes down = gold, btc, eur, jpy, chf, aud, nzd, silver all go up.
Why?
Well it's my assumption but inflation is too high for which fed raises rates.
Cpi is what makes fed decide whether it's gonna raise or not anymore (cpi higher fed raises rates).
If cpi is topped then I don't think the fed rate hike would make any difference in the market because this would be it's final and since (I believe) the market has made it's move already and as you can witness charts having supports on MAJOR tfs I don't think the raise in fed would make much difference or may do the opposite because it's what makes the cpi react that means cpi lags that means fed may not raise the rates as we have topped. Cpi what we have seen today was of AUGUST!!!!!!!!!!!!
So..
Even if the fed raises rates. Then the market would already have moved by then means no reaction because it was already anticipated (or as they say.. Buy the rumors!!!!!!! Sell the Nooz!!!. The news?
Fed is gonna raise the rates.
Anticipation? No surprise, (rate hike anticipated by 0.75 bps !! The market has already been moving as per the anticipation.
Cpi? Of course would FALL.
Means what happens AFTER that? No more raises!!! (My assumptions).
No raise? Reaction? Bonds go up yield goes down usd dxy goes down jpy eur gold silver btc goes up.
Good luck.
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$Dxy EW Analysis.
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