Weak Corrective Pullback Hints at Continued Downside

Since late January, USDCAD has seen a significant counter-trend move to the downside after a sizable bullish run. On it's way down, price briefly found support at the 1.3390 handle (the first blue box) before breaking through it shortly after. After breaking through to the downside, this level got retested twice (the next 2 blue boxes) and met significant selling pressure which had formed a new low. Since then, we have seen a bullish corrective move slowly drifting back toward that major level.

This recent strong impulsive bearish move and the lack of any real buying pressure hints at another potential bearish continuation. An ideal place to sell weak corrective moves is the 1.3390 handle. However, given the significance of this level, if volatility increases and this level is broken, this would also be a solid level to buy on retests.

And be cautious of spikes in volatility around NFP.

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Happy Trading,
Nazar.